Issued: 12:00 PM on Tuesday, October 5, 2010

A broad area of low pressure centered just north of the Virgin Islands continues to produce instability across the Lesser Antilles.  Clusters of scattered/heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to affect the Islands today.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have changed slightly during the past few hours.  The system has a high chance of becoming a tropical depression during the next day or two as upper level winds are expected to become more favourable for development.

Some outbreaks of moderate to heavy showers and thunderstorms can be expected over Dominica and some of the Windward Islands this afternoon an tonght.  Sea conditions should gradually improve as the day progresses.

Meanwhile showers and thunderstorms associated with a weak area of low pressure located about 950 miles east of the Lesser Antilles remains disorganized.   Development of this disturbance is not expected due to strong upper level winds.  We will continue to monitor this sytem as it moves north north westwards at 5 to 10 mph.

Forecast

Issued: 12:00 PM on Tuesday, October 5, 2010

Synopsis: Unstable conditions are affecting the island..

Forecast for This Afternoon and Tonight:

Generally Cloudy to overcast with moderate to heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms.

Wind: South South-easterly to East south-easterly at 10-35 km/h with higher gusts near showers..

Sea Conditions: Moderate to rough in open water.

Swells: 1.5 to 2.0 meters or 6.0 to 7.0 feet.

Warning/Advisory: .

Sunrise: 5:56 AM

Sunset: 5:53 PM

Low Tide: 8:18 AM and 8:35 PM

High Tide: 2:05 AM and 2:25 PM

– Information courtesy Dominica Meteorological Service