Map showing position of weather system. Photo credit: National Hurricane Center

Map showing possible track of weather system. Photo credit: Weather Underground

Cloudiness, showers and thunderstorms associate with an area of low pressure is located approximately 300 miles south east of the Dominica.  Conditions are expected to remain favourable for a tropical depression or storm to form during the next 48 hours as it moves west northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.

There is a high chance (90%) of this system becominig a tropical cyclone later today. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft will investigate the area this morning. If the system becomes a tropical cyclone today, watches or warnings will be issued for the Windward and Leeward Island on VERY SHORT NOTICE.

Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this system is expected to generate locally heavy rainfall, thunderstorms and gusty winds to the islands of the Lesser Antilles later this afternoon and tonight.

Residents in low lying areas, areas prone to flooding and landslides should monitor the progress of this system and be on the alert.  Fishermen particularly on the eastern coast of the island should secure or move their boats to a safe port as models are indicating waves of up to 12feet by this afternoon.

Sea bathers and small craft operators on the eastern coast of the island are advised to stay out of the water as sea conditions may become unsafe as the system approaches the island.