CADRES poll predicts DLP general election win

Wickham released the results of the poll on Wednesday
Wickham released the results of the poll on Wednesday

A Caribbean Development Research Services (CADRES) poll has predicted a win for the ruling Dominica Labour Party and a projected political swing of -2 percent away from the Dominica Labour Party (DLP) or +4 percent towards the United Workers Party (UWP).

The result of the poll, which was conducted between October 17 and 20, was revealed on Wednesday afternoon.

Additionally, based on the result of the poll, head of CADRES, Peter Wickham said there there will be no change of government in the next general election.

“The most significant political observation the survey generates is the projected political swing of -2% away from the Dominica Labour Party (DLP) or +4% towards the United Workers Party (UWP),” Wickham said. “The variation between the two projections is a result of the fact that the CADRES projection tool relies on the electoral history of both political parties and on this occasion the Dominica Freedom Party’s (DFP’s) historic support remains unallocated.”

He continued, “Notwithstanding, the direction of the swing is consistent in both instances and consistent with what would be a normal trend in the case of a fourth-term government in the Caribbean. CADRES normally evaluates the impact of the swing against the governing party, which in this instance is the DLP and within the range of likely variations, has determined that any movement in this election would take place in Roseau North, Wesley, La Plaine, Morne Jaune and Roseau Central. We do not anticipate any additional seats outside of this group “changing hands” nor do we expect that there would be a change of government in the next election.”

According to Wickham, the poll shows a 43 percent preference for the DLP and 30 percent for the UWP. Thirteen percent of respondents were unsure which party to support while 14 percent refused to reveal their preferred candidate or party.

“Although the DFP is not fielding any candidates, 0.4% of respondents identified themselves as DFP supporters,” Wickham stated.

He noted that the poll shows the two most important things on the minds of Dominicans are employment and cost of living.

Thirty one percent of respondents were concerned about employment while 22 percent were concerned about the cost of living.

Sixteen percent were concerned about the economy, while two percent of those interviewed were concerned about corruption.

Forty two percent believe the country is on the right track, while 38 percent believe it was heading in the wrong directon.

Wickham said in terms of leadership, on a scale of one to ten (with one being the lowest and ten, the highest), prime minister Roosevelt Skerrit received a score of 6.4 while leader of the UWP, Lennox Linton, received an average of 4.7.

“CADRES admits that a direct comparison of this nature does put the Opposition leader at a slight disadvantage since the expectations of the two roles are very different,” Wickham said.

He said 63 percent of respondents prefer Skerrit as the country’s leader while 37 percent prefer Linton.

“It is important to stress that this survey speaks to the contemporary scenario in Dominica which could change in either direction, depending on the timing of the next election,” Wickham stated.

The poll surveyed 48 residents in each of the 21 constituencies on the island.

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184 Comments

  1. Emailing
    November 1, 2014

    Mr. Skerrit, naming the Pond Casse Highway after President Liverpool and the airport after Charles and Douglas will not fool us in Grand Bay again and as for Mr. Liverpool what has he done in Grand Bay, his so call village , nothing and very little Grandbarians knows who he is, apart from the old people .

  2. Endurance.
    October 31, 2014

    Some of us cannot speak simply because we do not want to loose our jobs we the civil servants are the one who will be out in numbers to vote. Please remember the 27% that you are not sure off. We know that vat income tax and social security will increase if given five More years. Iam fed up and tired you guys live like kings and queen while we trying so hard to make ends meet. Heavenly Father I am asking you to please release us from the bondage that dominica is in. I am voting for my beautiful island. We have become to materialistic in dominica, we do not care . I am dominica are you. Change is a must for me . I leave this in god hands he will see us through this

  3. Marcus Hill
    October 31, 2014

    This poll, if the figures are correct, is very encouraging for the UWP. The Labour Party’s own poll is suggesting that, even before the elections are called, the DLP has already lost four seats (Roseau North, Wesley, Laplaine and Morne Jaune). So even before Skeritt has called the elections, the UWP has 6 safe seats.

    I think the quality of the UWP’s candidates can see them prevail in many more than five other constituencies to form the next government. The remaining three Roseau seats, Kalinago Territory, Castle Bruce, Colihaut, St.Joseph, Mahaut and possibly Soufriere are all up for grabs by the UWP.

  4. Anonymous
    October 31, 2014

    Polls don’t win election.

    • Anonymous
      November 1, 2014

      Did anyone tell Skerrit that?

  5. Truth be Told
    October 31, 2014

    “He noted that the poll shows the two most important things on the minds of Dominicans are employment and cost of living. Thirty one percent of respondents were concerned about employment while 22 percent were concerned about the cost of living.” As an international economist can I ask the Government of the Commonwealth of Dominica or the people of the Commonwealth of Dominica commenting on this issue, what is the percentage rate of inflation in Dominica (cost of living), and also what is the percentage rate of unemployment in Dominica? Seeing that you are celebrating independence which was gained in 1978, can you give an indication of trend or how these compare over the years since 1978? Have these figures been worse than they are now or are they at an all time worst case scenario since independence? I am not a supporter of any party, my support is to Dominica. I am just looking for some context as to how badly or not the economy is performing… It is obvious to everyone that the current Government of the Commonwealth of Dominica policies have not lifted the economy of that island (just look at energy cost in spite of ALBA because of Government taxes). Also, no new industries have been created on that island while the main existing ones fall apart i.e. Agriculture and Tourism. They did not even take advantage of the advances in digital and technological industry, for which they themselves are great users and consumers but not inventors producers!

  6. Francisco Telemaque
    October 31, 2014

    My job at this point is to exposed wickman for what he is; a lying puppet paid by Skerrit to spread false propaganda, trying to impress people that Skerrit is safe, he won the election already, as I said in another post, that guy and Skerrit, and the rest of the Labor Party, are into some cheap hog-wash psychology.

    Look at this; that man said he spoke with forty-eight “48” people in each constituency. There are twenty-one constituencies: So, if we multiply; forty-eight times twenty-one that would be 48 X 21 = 1,008 people he claimed to have spoken to; anybody who believes his crap is a fool like him. In the last election, just a little over thirty thousand people voted, and that includes the imports of voters from the Diaspora, including some who voted illegally.

    Note: I believe I saw the same statistics written by this same guy a few short months ago, nothing changes where it pertaining to the Labor Party, and their corroborator!

    Assuming that there are forty (40,000) legitimate voters in Dominica: and we minus 1,008 people that he claimed he spoke with; that would be: 40,000 – 1008 = 38,992 people he did not talk with, so how can he come to such ridiculous conclusion, this guy can only fool Skerrit with his crap, that is what he got paid f by Skerrit to do, he accepted money to lie, and convince people that Skerrit is going to win the election.

    When that happens I will believe it, and will have nothing more to do with whatever happens in the future in Dominica. If both he and Skerrit have any sense they would have focused on the ground where he and Gloria with their shovels dug up the ground talking about they are going to build research center. They need to take a look at the picture and notice that the only two people in the picture is Skerrit, and Cousin Gloria alone: (not even me other cousin the candidate for Wesley at the moment was in the picture), ( I doh know where me flamboyant cousin was). Perhaps she was out campaigning.

    Funny, thing nobody from Wesley went to pay homage to the dictator, perhaps they went to work on their farm to try and keep their crops alive so that they do not stave; no wonder the duo could not look into each other face. Gloria face is to the North, and Skerrit look down at the dirt he had just plowed, and perhaps thought he heard applauds from a crowed that did not exist. I am sure he told his colleague in political crime with him, all of the people of Wesley came out to see him break ground to build a five hundred thousand dollar whatever center, which he will never built before Election, the ground braking thing is the dangling carrot, you see, but this time none of the Mr/ Mrs/Miss Rabbit in Wesley is going to leap for that dangling carrot; We know their is a hook in that carrot oui!!

    Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha.

    Francisco Etienne-Dods Telemaque

  7. love I
    October 30, 2014

    WORKERS will win…must win….is going to win….Mr. Pollster get your facts right or tell the TRUTH.

    • Titiwi
      October 31, 2014

      If Skerrit wins again I will definitely leave the country and many more with me because I know he already have a bill of sale with the Chinese.

  8. Anonymous
    October 30, 2014

    I read 119 comments and I am embarrassed by the comments. Some people did not have a grasp of the information presented yet were quick to comment. The common indirectly stated theme was “I want my party to win”.

    There is one single bit of information that did not seem significant to any of the self appointed “experts”. The total percentage of committed voters evaluates to 73% (43 Labour + 30 UWP), according to the poll. This suggests a potential voter turnout of the same percentage. How then does this compare historically with voter turnouts in Dominica? Have we ever had a voter turnout that high in our election history?

    This poll may very well turn out to be one of the most accurate in recent times.

    A word of caution: the 1985 election was decided in the last two weeks by a massive swing – Murphys Law.

  9. Ma Moses
    October 30, 2014

    Let’s be clear. It is no skin of Peter Wickham’s nose whether Roosevelt Skerrit wins or not. He gets paid anyway so what harm in flattering his client and do his bidding by telling him what he wants to hear. After all, others in the P.M.’s entourage have learned the same approach too if they they are not to incur the wrath and displeasure of their leader, fall foul of the distribution of favours and enjoy their peace.

  10. eh beh
    October 30, 2014

    PLEASE DNO, LETS HAVE A POLL

  11. Anonymous
    October 30, 2014

    We will know if he is right after the results are announced. In the meantime start making up excuses for losing, you always hit back before you get hit. Buy a lot of tissue you need it for both ends, Angry people.

  12. for real
    October 30, 2014

    if only the poll said uwp would win then you guys would have been ok with it…… just accept the poll people……. just because you support the opposition does not mean you have to oppose everything

  13. ladyC
    October 30, 2014

    Oh My! God already knows the next Government for D.A. . We Dominicans bluffing and puffing. Dominicans unite politicians don’t get vex with one another.; but some Dominicans hate one another. Why is that? Is this the fault of our Politicians ?., this may be so or not.
    Anyway Dominicans have a blessed and wonderful Independence. BE PREPARED ELECTION IS ROUND THE CORNER.

    HAPPY INDEPENDENCE TO MR. SKERRITT AND MR. LINTON and their families.

  14. Really
    October 30, 2014

    Good. So let’s vote and get it over with. Fed up of all that fake stuff that going on spending money like they care. If Dominican’s stupid enough to vote those greedy selfish people back in then they might as well take whats coming to them. Probably a 50 foot gold statue of Skerrit with diamond eyes. So the red clinic people and the rest of the labourites can pray to it on Wednesdays.

  15. Truth and Justice
    October 30, 2014

    Fair poll results, Labour party wlil win the election with a lower majority but it will still win.

  16. merlin
    October 30, 2014

    Sycophants from without trying to determine the future of a people. The results of the next election will determine the intelligence of a nation.The power lies between the index finger and thumb.either we opt for change in direction or two lost decade.

  17. looking
    October 30, 2014

    This Poll was selective. I was one interviewed additionally the questions were carefully crafted. E.g who is the better leader? PM or Lennox. Lennox has never been leader of the country i cannot say he would be better or worst. Poor poll in my oppinion

    • Gary
      October 30, 2014

      Wow, what a silly misconception. You misunderstanding of something does not mean it is so. When you say quote “Lennox has never been leader of the country i cannot say he would be better or worst”, where is your analytical skills. You have displayed such cynicism and shows how gullible you are, it ‘s the type of people Politicians love, you know why, because people like you can be manipulated without your knowing.

  18. Marcus Hill
    October 30, 2014

    This poll, if the figures are correct, is very encouraging for the UWP. The Labour Party’s own poll is suggesting that, even before the elections are called, the DLP has already lost four seats (Roseau North, Wesley, Laplaine and Morne Jaune). So even before Skeritt has called the elections, the UWP has 6 safe seats.

    I think the quality of the UWP’s candidates can see them prevail in many more than five other constituencies to form the next government. The remaining three Roseau seats, Kalinago Territory, Castle Bruce, Colihaut, St.Joseph, Mahaut and possibly Soufriere are all up for grabs by the UWP.

    My own prediction is that the UWP will win between 12 and 15 seats. Labour between 6 and 9 seats.

  19. too late
    October 30, 2014

    So with all this information about them winning, how the election hasn’t been called. if I were the government I would keep this information a secret and call the election not have a big press conference.

  20. Lang Mama
    October 30, 2014

    DNO all how we turn they making MOU. Skerrit and his circus making MOU Dominicans. But while Peter throw us an MOU he secretly gave his employers an MOT.
    So we Dominicans are use them making MOU (MaKakwi Of Us) but Peter make MaKakwi Of Them (MOT)

  21. Sense
    October 30, 2014

    Some people are acting as if the elections are long overdue or are being delayed. Don’t they know that a government’s term of office is 5 years? Can someone please let the opposition know that?

  22. Skerro's plan
    October 30, 2014

    Here’s the Master Plan:
    a) Bring in as many voters to steal the elections. If that does not work,
    b) kill as many UWP supporters as we can before the election

    WE HAVE THE MONEY TO DO THAT

  23. Me
    October 30, 2014

    mr. Skerrit, you may as well have employed a soothsayer with a crystal ball. That would have been just as effective and certainly cheaper than paying for the services of the Oracle of Bridgetown.

  24. rol
    October 30, 2014

    Boy, I don’t think the PM like that poll there at all. Remember he said he wants a clean sweep like in Grenada. That poll not looking like a sweep. He will tell Dominicans go to hell if he don’t get his sweep.

  25. god's child
    October 29, 2014

    Tiredness commitment to improvement is what genders excellence!!!! God has already place this election into one mans hand. the one who is humbled and pride less. the one who does not bear false witness and create deceitful illusions for unprofitable gain. the one who is just and tread on the righteous path. God give and God take away. remember king Solomon? remember the people of Israel? the God of those day’s is the God of today. He is the ancient of days and he still delivers. am not obligated to no party, blue or red.. but with no doubt or disbelief the reds has lost the race!

  26. IFF I WUZ
    October 29, 2014

    Parry, I would advise the Prime Minister if their is such a poll like the one presented by Wickham in the future, it should be used for private consumption. Parry should advise the Prime Minister that Wickham has put the popularity of the Labor Party in question. He could have mentioned about 13% undecided but the 14% who refused to reveal their preferred candidate should have been left out.

  27. fuente
    October 29, 2014

    I did the maths and came to the conclusion that UWP is on good grounds.

    There are 2 types of voters, the die hard bias and the straight.

    Now 48 voters in 21 constituencies comes out to 1008 voters. 43% is 433 voters 30% is 302 voters.

    Now labour has 4 seats of die hard voters. 48 x 4 = 192, and 433-192 = 241.

    Timothy say UWP has 1 die hard seat 48 x 1 = 48 and 302 – 48 = 254.

    So 254 straight voters support UWP while 241 straight voters support DLP.

    Now that’s the true outlook of the poll

  28. John B
    October 29, 2014

    Let me give one reason why I think this poll is fake. the poll states that 30% of respondents support the UWP. Let’s assume that only half of UWP supporters {which is very conservative} believe that corruption is an issue in government, then you see why it can’t be only 2% of Dominicans who believe that corruption is a problem.

  29. October 29, 2014

    Oh thank you, thank you, thank you Mr. Wickham for confirming what I have been saying all along! This pole will finally open the eyes of those whom are too blind to see the writing on the wall!
    The fact is that there are just not enough supporters of the United Wicked People to gain them a win in this election or any other for that matter. We Laborites are more than 60,000 strong and our Supreme Leader, The Grand Master, The Head Honcho, Dominica’s Divine King, Dr. Roosevelt Skerrit, has no qualms in spending some of his millions to bring home our faithfuls to ensure that Labor Power remains as Head of Government here in Dominica!
    This pole is an on-point and accurate reflection of the People’s desires. I personally cannot wait to see the thousands gathered in their bright and beautiful red on Election Day outnumbering the dirty blues 10 to 1! Although the United Wicked People are now trembling in their boots, on election day I suppose many will choose to switch party, turn back and return home or simply slit their wrists in front of the voting booth! Sorry guys!

  30. %
    October 29, 2014

    Can any brave labourite list the 11 constituencies that Labar may win? I am living in Roseau South,please delete it from Labar Party list.Despite what Wickham is saying.It is in Blue Bag. This will dominate the talkshows for weeks and or months after the election.Ambruise Pwen Couwee won by almost 1000votes over Bobby Federick,but he has No Chance this time around. THE GATE IS LOCKED,AND HE IS OUT!
    HOW LONG! NOT LONG!

  31. Barbados Observer
    October 29, 2014

    All should take a read at this article.

    http://thevincentian.com/ndp-view-polls-and-peter-wickham-p4140-107.htm

    We know who this man is, here in BIM.

  32. Anonymous
    October 29, 2014

    i feel like I am living on another planet. In all my years on earth I have never been questioned during a poll neither have I seen anyone conducting a poll in my area.

  33. shaka zulu
    October 29, 2014

    Hmmm. A government in power with 18-3 majority and instead of talking about what they have done in last 14 years to make Dominica and future better we hearing about polls. Why not let your records speak for itself. Oops record not good.
    The only reason these polls are done is to say UWP can say what they want even if true Dominicans will still vote labour. That is why Walters talking about people will loose their deposit. This poll is the biggest waste of money I ever seen. Talk about bias.
    The fact remains we are behind the rest of the Caribbean in everything and the labour party has absolutely no more ideas. If Dominicans want to remain in the same st pit then they can keep voting labour.

  34. PORTSMOUTH
    October 29, 2014

    The Labor party should be very uneasy with what seem to be a bogus report. How do you make such bold prediction when the data you are presenting does not support your prediction.
    43% of the voters support DLP and 30% the UWP- OK fine but 14% choose not to divulge their preferences and 13% neutral. That should be very disturbing to the Peter wickam and his employers. If Peter wickam was a little bit more diligent he would take the time to understand the voting culture, behavior or history of the vdominican voters. Laborites will tell you right of the bat that they are voting Labor ( maybe they spoke to him in creole)se Labor mwen Labor. With their party in power and hoping to get some handouts Laborites will fly their flags up high and hand their shoe at their front door. The people who choose to remain silent are those too afraid of the Skerrit gang victimization. The 13 percent neutral are definitely not hard core Laborites and may very well be disappointed Freedomites looking for a home. In addition a few pissed off Laborites who may or may not vote at all. So if you distribute the 27% ( 14+13) between the two parties – UWP gets at least 20.5 % (14+6.5) the labor Party gets 7.5% then it becomes an even race.

    Another very questionable aspect of the poll results is the data presented for the response to unemployment. Unemployment among our young people is about 75%. did Wickham interview the unemployed young people?

    As an aside I wonder whether Mr timothy knew of the Wickham poll when he said last week that Danny Lugay was a non factor.

  35. October 29, 2014

    No matter what Mr. Wickham says the DLP will not win . The reality on the ground tells a different story. The winds of change is blowing hard.

  36. mornepatat
    October 29, 2014

    Be afraid…..labour should be very afraid,

    • Anonymous
      October 30, 2014

      Afraid of what?

    • for real
      October 30, 2014

      why should they….. poll predicts they will win

  37. Mee3
    October 29, 2014

    UMP should read into this poll and press confrence. Why would the man say DLp might loose some seats. This was done to bring out the DLP supporters/voters to the pools when the election is called. If the DLP people hear that they are slipping a bit, the will be more eager to come out to vote, while the poll is not all that bad for the UWP but it was done to motivate the DLP supporters. why would a man paid by the DLP come out with that kind of result if they were not up to something. He might fool some with his results, he might not fool all. Hope Lennox read into that.

    I am Dominica(n), I am independent

    • Mee3
      October 29, 2014

      error alert….not UMP :lol: :lol: :lol: ……….UWP

    • Anonymous
      October 30, 2014

      You make a very good point. I was not thinking of it that way. Hmmm

  38. anonymous2
    October 29, 2014

    I guess that people here not only get out and vote but also demand that there be a chain of command with signatures for handling the ballots. Otherwise, all I see is election fraud. It is up to the people to ensure that ballots are counted properly and without error.

    • eh beh
      October 30, 2014

      this is my greatest fear

  39. watermelon
    October 29, 2014

    nonsence get real to play your dirty politics yoru laborite how much you get pay

  40. Anonymous
    October 29, 2014

    DNO let’s make our own poles I ready to vote because they pass my home like an exam I ready to vote

  41. impartial
    October 29, 2014

    This is not a scientific poll. This is pure rubbish. When two percent of the population are concern about corruption that means 98% of Dominicans are foolish. Trust me, Dominicans are brilliant and that is why this labor party can not garner 50% positive rating. There is no other option but CHANGE.

    • Osanna Mowanga
      October 29, 2014

      if Dominicans vote that labour party again they will not only be foolish but will be dummies,. If only 2% are concerned about corruption, something is terribly wrong.

    • Cyrique
      October 30, 2014

      Change? I agree!! Linton needs to be changed. He’s too much of a risk! The PM is very strong. He’s educated and very charismatic. He’s also achieved an awful lot for us. ( I’m NOTa Laborite!!). To beat the PM the opposition has to be strong. Not someone whose mouth is his worst enemy and has not told is what his strategy or counter strategy is. My vote is VERY valuable and Linton has NOT earned it. I simply can’t trust him to go abroad on our behalf!!! I’m a very proud Dominican who believe that our leader must be able to negotiate at all level internationally and locally. Linton? You’ve got to be kidding!!

    • Gary
      October 30, 2014

      Why are you so arrogant.I’m referring to your foolish statement quote “When two percent of the population are concern about corruption that means 98% of Dominicans are foolish. You know there is a saying, arrogance is a creature, it does not have senses.
      It has only a sharp tongue and the pointing finger.

  42. Oh Yes
    October 29, 2014

    Peter opines that although he sees the DLP winning again there is a possibility that the trajectory may go either way. This says to me that h e was selectively cautious not to discount the UWP. Readers must view this as a sort of lack of conviction. Of course, the DLP will feast on these results to spur them but there’s mixed signals that obviously gives the UWP the real expressed confidence that it has.

    • The Facts
      October 29, 2014

      Generally, polls are usually accurate.

  43. Tj
    October 29, 2014

    Was the poll concerned with getting a clean voter’s list so we can have a clean and fair elecion? I am a child of the fifties my grandfather died before I was born but,he voted in 1965.

    • Anonymous
      October 30, 2014

      You should be arrested and charged for obstruction of justice, for knowing that someone voted in your grandfather’s name and you did not report it to the authorities. Further you have failed in your duty to the country since you are the one who should have ensured that your grandfather’s name was removed from the voters list. You aught to be ashamed of yourself writing this garbage here.

  44. rainbow
    October 29, 2014

    Ten per cent of every constituency would be more realistic. It is obvious peter did not survey Vielle Case. That constituency going to switch to the UWP. Mahaut and St. Joseph going back to UWP, Roseau South and Valley going back too. Tell Peter take his money Labour pay him and go to hell as our PM would say.

    • The Facts
      October 29, 2014

      If you have to make such a comment, wait until Election Day, after the polls close and the winner is announced.

  45. ?????????
    October 29, 2014

    I was approached at my home by a few persons who saidbthey were comin in the behalf of julius timothy…. they bluntly asked who i would vote for and i answered i could not tell them… i am a uwpite… so i conclude that the 14% who refused to answer are uwp supporters in fear of victimization….. so the 30 plus 14 and an additional 8 from the unsure…one can imagine the fear that labor has in callin the election….

    • October 29, 2014

      I am in full agreement with you. This country is ripe with victimization and as such people are cagy about where they stand for good reason. You are wise unlike the workers at Public Works Corporation who uttered “Change is a must” in the presence of the PM on the Penville project and has since cost them the remaining works valued at approx. $2 million dollars and no pay for four fort nights for daily paid workers and two months for admin. staff. Therefore, Dominicans take heed of where and what you say until the storm is over. May God bless this country and strengthen us while we weather this storm of a government.

      • suffering
        October 29, 2014

        So true. My family is struggling financially because of victimization. God cannot be present nor will He answer prayers where injustice prevails.

      • Just Observing
        October 30, 2014

        Are you suggesting that every voter among the 14% will vote for one party? is that 14% of voters that political parties usually go after. these are people who do not attend rallies or call radios or seen in public associating with any with anybody or party politically. They are what is referred to as “swing voters”. Are you suggesting that these grouping will vote only for the UWP? Think again!

    • The Facts
      October 29, 2014

      Under no condition should they ever ask who you will vote for. They could word it differently as to your preference. Then you are entitled to inform them or not.

    • politics
      October 30, 2014

      “so i conclude that the 14% who refused to answer are uwp supporters in fear of victimization….. so the 30 plus 14 and an additional 8 from the unsure…one can imagine the” …. simple analysis, however there are other reasons why someone would not say who they are voting for, most people still consider their vote to be a private matter. What you are doing is claiming all the undecided and voters who have not expressed a preference are UWP votes, that can never happen so stop dreaming.

  46. Ryan
    October 29, 2014

    this poll has now justified that team Dominica has a sure win… Continue working guys, u have just prove to the undesided that team UWP is the way to go… 3 supporters of UWP was interviewed and they remain undecided due to fear of Victimization…

  47. lol
    October 29, 2014

    But everybody know dlp win already, lmfao! :lol:

    • Really
      October 30, 2014

      Well let’s vote already nah? I got stuff to do. If D/ca want to get enslaved tell me now so I can leave. Earlier the better.

  48. Forever Amber
    October 29, 2014

    “The poll surveyed 48 residents in each of the 21 constituencies on the island”

    IMPORTANT OMISSIONS:
    a) What was the split between DLP and UWP respondents?
    b) What was the split between female and male respondents?

    It would be interesting to see the Questionnaire. I wouldn’t be surprised if they were politically biased to favour a DLP response.

    I wonder why we didn’t hear any tentative results of the election? Is it because, according with Wickham’s DISCLAIMER, “It is important to stress that this survey speaks to the contemporary scenario in Dominica which could change in either direction, depending on the timing of the next election.”?

    • October 29, 2014

      ENBAS, not Amber. Enbas is French, which is the correct spelling. I used to spell it the same way until I was advised differently, of the meaning.

      • Forever Amber
        October 30, 2014

        ‘Amber’ is a colour, and “forever Amber’ is the title of a novel.

      • The Prophet
        October 30, 2014

        Quite right Amber, your name does not just represent a colour but a semi precious material, fossilised tree resin to be exact, which is used to make jewellery.
        En bas (in our patois we have conjoined it into one word enbas) from the French, meaning: down below, at the bottom, downstairs

  49. Doc. Love
    October 29, 2014

    According to Mr. Linton ,it is votes that win elections not polls. However, if I was Skeritt I would be very disappointed with the figures presented by Peter Wickham. He said DLP will get 43 % of the votes, UWP Team Dominica will get 30%. What is really interesting is when he said 13% has not yet made up their minds and 14% refused to reveal their party of choice. Therefore, 27% of the voters could go either way. That should be very concerning to Skeritt. As regards the 67% for Skeritt against 33% for Mr. Linton as a leader, in 2009, he reported the same figures. It would appear that as far as he is concerned, the popularity of Mr. Linton and Mr. James as leaders of the UWP, have remained the same for five years.

    • Michael
      October 29, 2014

      Your analysis of the 27 per cent is right on point! I believe the 27 per cent is indicative and supportive of my position that any of the two parties could win the upcoming elections. None has a decisive lead at this point. The results of the elections could be very close.

      Peter Wickham interpreted the poll’s figures as a win for the DLP rather than saying it looks inconclusive. Why? Most probably, he wishes to give comfort to the sponsor of the poll.

  50. Wesley
    October 29, 2014

    Labour Party Conducting a pool on their own people, who cares about this inside pool. Call the election and we will see the real deal.

  51. Itassi Too
    October 29, 2014

    From the time this poll result was released I went to the streets of Vieille -Case, Penville and Thibaud, which forms the ‘Vieille-case costituency’, to see how many known UWP public supporters that were questioned by CADRES or anyone, and to my surprise not ONE was polled! So in my constituency I can come up with two conclusions re this poll: 1. ONLY Laborites were questioned OR 2. If supporters of UWP were questioned they were known supporters of the DLP in the 2009 election that are secretly supporting UWP this time but prefer to be anonymous so they could get all they can from the Skerrit UPS delivery service that delivering blocks, galvanize, toilets, nails, plywood, money, wood, board and more on a daily basis.

  52. george Fontaine
    October 29, 2014

    If I were in Mr. Skerrit’s shoes I would be very unhappy with this report…it is basically saying that despite being paid to raise hopes, he could not say That the DLP will win by a landslide so at best he predicts a little win…

  53. concerned Dominican
    October 29, 2014

    all you reds are dumb in a can

  54. Change is a must
    October 29, 2014

    “It is important to stress that this survey speaks to the contemporary scenario in Dominica which could change in either direction, depending on the timing of the next election,” Wickham stated.
    This is the key sentence in the whole article. He is basically covering himself because he knows that the election can go any way…
    .CHANGE IS A MUST IN DOMINICA RIGHT NOW..NOT AN OPTION!!!!!

  55. happy
    October 29, 2014

    Jump high jump low, a win is a win. DNO you have deceived us into thinking that your site is a reputed and balance site. All you have done is strengthen the DLP, because you have failed to give unbiased reports. You have failed the country and public miserably by publicly supporting fictions from facts. As stated previously this is a UWP website. You should wear the shameless HAT. Thumbs up or down is irrelevant since you have also silence us. Our votes will not be silent

    • Truth
      October 30, 2014

      Happy, you sound very unhappy and depressed, because all I see is dno releasing what Mr. Peter Wickham has said.

  56. JoJo
    October 29, 2014

    The only thing this conference tells me is that Roosevelt Skerrit is insecure. If he is that sure he will win why have Peter Wickham call a full blown news conference to announce it? Never sell the bear’s skin before you catch it my friend. Dominicans are notorious for not telling you their business, so I will just stay cool and wait till all the votes are counted.

  57. TRUTH
    October 29, 2014

    this is a poll to fools ,
    Is like saying dommen for fishing .,so the people wont leave your net in water,,you telling them to pull ,because there is fish in the net ,when you know well that there is none,
    But dominicans, dont be distracted by this poll ,it is bogus tell wecam ,we can feel the breeze, and it doesnt feel like labor, but we feel CHANGE

  58. October 29, 2014

    People ask the question this not an independent poll it was a poll Done for the dlp pay for by the dlp what do think the result would be.

  59. Da Woman
    October 29, 2014

    Why would DLP pay for a study that will show them in the disadvantage?
    Those guys are such big players.

  60. Ma Moses
    October 29, 2014

    Oh dear, I thought you were going to bring some real news!
    To be honest, I don’t know who will win the election, I hope it is Team Dominica but mr. Wickham, it is too close to call. You were way out in Grenada remember?

  61. Francisco Telemaque
    October 29, 2014

    Watch out people, the authority they have to say poles say is based on the idea of exchanging crooked votes with their counterpart in St. Kitts. When I first read Astaphan’s comment I thought he was talking out of his mind, but it is reality.

    I checked out what I thought was only a rumor, and found it to be true!

    They are planning on bringing people as far off as Nigeria, crooks who they sold Dominica passport to. Dominicans need to be vigilant and identify those who are brought in to the country to perpetrate a fraud on legitimate voters of Dominica.

    Skerrit intention is to win the election by fraud, if that happens, Dominica will be in the hands of Dictator, hence there will never be another election in Dominica, and force will have to be used in the future to free the people; you know something like a revolution; we need to avoid that by voting that man out of power.

    Francisco Etienne-Dods Telemaque

    • Gary
      October 30, 2014

      Wow, Imaginary diseases are the hardest to cure, Paranoia is one of them.

    • Anonymous
      October 30, 2014

      That type of scaremongering died with the Freedom Party. We all know that there is a RESIDENTIAL requirement that qualifies one for registration on the voters list. We also know of the INTENSE monitoring of the polling stations by ALL Political Parties. Now tell us how it is going to work. The Courts established that those whose names appear on the list CANNOT be prevented from voting, that is now the LAW. You must now apologize to the people of Dominica for thinking of them as fools.

  62. The Analyst
    October 29, 2014

    be aware, that the undecided voters will either vote the opposition or not vote at all. Those who refuse to say who they voting for, its not the opposition the fraid. That poll is very bad news for the government.

  63. Labor 2 D bone
    October 29, 2014

    any movement in this election would take place in Roseau North, Wesley, La Plaine, Morne Jaune and Roseau Central.

    Mr. Wickham, you have really weakened my faith in your report. Did you realize that three out of the four DLP constituencies you are concerned about are that of important government ministers? You talking about Timothy- Minister of health; St. Jeanne-Minister for education; Gloria Shillingford-Minister for Social Services, Community Development and Gender Affairs. Also bear in mind that Matthew Walter- Minister of Agriculture has already jumped out. Although all of these ministers and others are round pegs in square holes but say according to you DLP wins, and those four ministers are out, who from the list of candidates really have what it takes to make DA better? Can you not see the disaster ahead should the dlp win and those 4 ministers are out? Your survey has just opened my eyes to think hard and strong about the future of Dominica and you have just given me another reason to save Dominica by voting my party out!.

    • politics
      October 30, 2014

      “Your survey has just opened my eyes to think hard and strong about the future of Dominica and you have just given me another reason to save Dominica by voting my party out!.”………..my party? Perhaps you have not realised that this is an opinion poll the real poll will be on election day whenever it is called. If the UWP is so certain that it will win they should ignore this poll and commission their own poll or better yet laugh this poll out of the door.

  64. jang
    October 29, 2014

    where and when they that poll i dont know dublanc is not i repeat labour we are not just light but dark the guy only talk DLP supporters and he is saying they well i will tell you something let them call election and you see how we will give DLP A BEATING

  65. Anonymous
    October 29, 2014

    DNO can you please published the results of the Bill Johnson poll

  66. De Real 1
    October 29, 2014

    We red red red red Ready!!!

    • Country Woman
      October 29, 2014

      As always, no substance, you can’t it dialog.

  67. October 29, 2014

    Stop playing cat and mouse and call the elections. CALL it nah call it!

  68. Massacre
    October 29, 2014

    This is a bogus poll, It will not keep us away from the polling booths on election day to make sure that we prove it wrong.

    • colombo
      October 29, 2014

      The UPP Supporters in Antigua was saying the same negative things about the Polls.
      They were defeated 14 to 3.

      Don’t shoot the Pollster.

  69. Bradam
    October 29, 2014

    Of course if Cadrec comes to Mahaut only labourites are on the streets unemployed. These are the unintelligent ones. UWP supporters are the cream of the crop, they are at their jobs.

    • #speakingmymind2
      October 29, 2014

      Boi I can comment on that eh but I will leave that for now.Oh really! all the UWP supporters are employed eh.

    • Just Observing
      October 30, 2014

      Very interesting. True or not, Hon. Blackmore take note. You are either politically foolish unaware of what is happening in your constituency, which I doubt very much or you are truly a representative for all supposing that all the employees were granted jobs by you. The person who made the comment cannot be comfortable with what they have to say about their community.

  70. Nevevson st jean
    October 29, 2014

    So just call the elections

  71. Anonymous
    October 29, 2014

    Congrats to the DLP on winning Peter’s election

  72. My own poll
    October 29, 2014

    Another very, very, very disturbing thing for the DLP according to this poll is this statement here:

    The poll surveyed 48 residents in each of the 21 constituencies on the island.
    Folks we know Dominica and the way we do things. We all know that CADRES, a Barbados based company, which is a friend of Skerrit’s main advisor who is also from Bados, was hired and paid big money by the DLP. They are not independent! Obviously most of the 48 residents they say they surveyed in each 21 constituencies, would be persons they supported Skerrit and the DLP last election. To get this kind of result no matter how they twist it, is definitely showing trouble in the camp of Skerrit and the DLP

  73. October 29, 2014

    I think the poll for me is are big joke because if i pay somebody to do are poll for me it will always go in my favor he could not get it right in his own country why i think he can get it right in my own country

  74. Zuma
    October 29, 2014

    Please allow me to pose a question for thorough investigation. Is the UWP leader an American citizen

  75. Labour!!!!!!!!!
    October 29, 2014

    I could have told you guys that…DLP is gonna win, UWP is not ready yet to govern this country…maybe next time!

    PM am reddddddddddyyyyyyy! What you waiting for!

    To those “dislikes”…you know what to do with those! :lol:

  76. October 29, 2014

    I think the poll for me is are big joke because if i pay somebody to do are poll for me it will always go in my favor

  77. My own poll
    October 29, 2014

    According to Wickham the poll shows a 43 percent preference for the DLP and 30 percent for the UWP. Thirteen percent of respondents were unsure which party to support while 14 percent refused to reveal their preferred candidate or party.

    My own poll on the ground shows a complete different thing, and the statement above by Mr. Wickham confirms why my own poll is correct. Here is the truth: According to Wickham, 43% favors Skerrit while 30% favors UWP. How can we forget that 13% are undecided while 14% refused to reveal their party.
    In any country you go supporters of the incumbent never shy away from saying who they will support because they know they have nothing to lose and everything to win. In a place like Dominica even UWPites are forced to dance the DLP tune just so they get all they can from Skerrit far less laborites. When you have 13% undecided plus 14 % anonymous voters, you talking about a total amount of 27% that we can safely add to the UWP tally, which would give them a potential 57%. This information from Mr. Wickham is very troubling and disturbing to the DLP and that might very well be the reason Skerrit is afraid of calling it.

    • Just Observing
      October 30, 2014

      Hurray, hurray, hurray. 57% of the popular votes went to the UWP -amen, amen, amen. Pray tell me then. If you know that the undecided (27% of those polled) will vote for you, then why all that hysteria and hate being spewed about the place. 57% of the popular vote is a solid endorsement. Just wait and see. Did it not occur to you that some of the 27% could go either way? then what will be the results. these are the people the parties go after when the bell is rung.

  78. eh beh
    October 29, 2014

    well workers who have not registered are going to register. people who are unsure are going to vote workers. we not going to let labour win. thanks for the polls showing us that workers going to try harder, and civilians are surely going to vote to make this stupid poll useless

  79. enough..
    October 29, 2014

    Boss u on skerro pay roll so we expect that…Dominicans need an independent poll free fr DA politicians. …COME AGAIN BRO N TELL SKERRO JUST CALL D ELECTION.

  80. Barb-Sepant
    October 29, 2014

    Bagaila ka sam grois bande pou team la wii garzon!!

  81. October 29, 2014

    Peter that what you think tell KING SKIRRET TO CALL THE ELECTION AND HE WILL SEE HOW FED UP THE DOMINICANS ARE WITH HIM.

  82. Tumble Back kick
    October 29, 2014

    Well workers si zoh vle gagner elcion sala zoh ni pou twavail pli wed.

  83. Anonymous555
    October 29, 2014

    the poll is wrong …but the dlp is gonna win we not losing la plaine ,grand fond,we taking roseau central , marigot in play right now we can’t win salisbury mb colihaut in play, we still stayin with our 18 we may lose two n gain two…. :-D :-D :-D

    • #speakingmymind2
      October 29, 2014

      Pardner if you in your play,Colihaut not in your play with you

  84. October 29, 2014

    this guy is a joke, he say roseau north, roseau central, wesley,laplain, morn jaune, were is marigot, salisbury,castle bruce this guy is a joke change must come we will be supprise to see how big that change is goin to be
    and you can take that to the bank

  85. DrawingBoard
    October 29, 2014

    Had Peter Wickhham said the UWP winning the elections everything would have been ok?
    Well most of Peter’s polls have been correct except for one or two but generally CADRES is credible enough.
    Thefact is UWP just doesent want to face reality..they are being carried away with what is on facebook and DNO…the swing towards Workers could have been from registered young voters but people remember you are not seeing the vast majority of elderly voterso on soical media…there are persons out of state who will come to vote… so when Lennox claim he is winning the whole west coast he had to be mad…..Pmth? Cottage?Colihuat?
    People have you been looking at your election list closely? Carlise and Matt are not doing you justice and when the election results come out UWP will be shouting is steal they steal…
    Workers have maintained their same old boring strategy and that is not working…Peter Wickham is dead on target……. Workers you need to restrategize……..Lennox fenir bat avec zors…

    • Boo
      October 30, 2014

      ou really sot

  86. Portsmouth
    October 29, 2014

    One thing that we all know is that Laborites are not afraid to declare their support for the Labor Party and Peter Wickham is saying that 14% of the interviewee stay moo moo and another 13 % undecided.
    My question to Peter the Piper is he really playing the notes correctly cause the deduction does not match the data .
    Who did he interview that only 30% are concerned about unemployment. Does that mean that unemployment is about 30%. We know for sure that unemployment among the youth is 75% -80%.
    No wonder Wickham has been so way off in our neighboring islands

    • Boo
      October 30, 2014

      De man working for his money. What u want him to say? He is not God

  87. Duncekyat
    October 29, 2014

    CADRES poll is like a breast augmentation. It serves no useful purpose, but it is fun to look at. :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

    • Shameless
      October 30, 2014

      :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: Hence another reason why Change Is A Must!

      Assertive, NOT Aggressive!

    • Lang Mama
      October 30, 2014

      Breast Augmentation in creole is false tetais

  88. Dawn
    October 29, 2014

    What is the margin of error Mr. Wickam on your survey? What methodology did you use? Telephone, face to face or letter mail?

    What type of staff you had working for you in three days reaching 48 persons in every constituency? How did you pick your persons who were surveyed? Ramdomly or by households or on the streets?

    I have dismissed this survey as bogus. Just last Week Timothy said that Roseau North is his and Lugay cannot win that seat. Now you are saying something else. I will dub this survey as bogus and confusing. The only survey that matters Peter is when the votes are counted on election night. You are dismissed.

    • Anonymous
      October 30, 2014

      I though I miss these questions in the article so did a key word search for margin, only to realise you ask the very same questions I had.

  89. Lougaoo Mem
    October 29, 2014

    Wait a minute. I thought all along the DLP was going for a landslide, 20 to 1 or maybe a repeat of 18 to 3.

    Why are these Barbadians sucking the blood of our people compliments the DLP? What is it that makes us so different to the other islands in the Caribbean?

    If we allow the opportunity to pass us by, and not vote this most corrupt government out of office, then, we really deserve whatever follows. It’s no secret about the allegations, corruptions, lies, in your face arrogance and deception, you name it. Then we have government lawyers who blatantly do as they may to manipulate our judicial system in order to avoid equal rights and justice for all. Mr. Gon Emmanuel is waiting for justice. Is that what the government supporters are proud of? Then they go to church in the name of the Almighty while they support the wrongs of this government. I know one thing, God is alive and well. He knows and sees it all. In our volcanic island, don’t they know that the wrath of the Almighty can easily make rivers of lava flow in all directions like what we see in other parts of the world? These are troubling times for our beloved nation. Therefore, I plead to our people to wake-up, pray and correct the wrongs of the most corrupt government the nation has ever experienced by voting them out of office before we all regret the outcome

    • Gary
      October 30, 2014

      When opinions are held with passion especially political it can some how display a delusional mind.

  90. toms
    October 29, 2014

    NDP View- Polls and Peter Wickham
    On 2nd November, 2013, I Witness News carried a news item which headlined, “Last month ULP was favoured for a 4th term in office – poll.” The story went on and stated: “If general elections were called in October, the ruling Unity Labour Party (ULP) would have maintained the eight seats it holds and could have won between two and four more, according to a poll conducted last month.”
    The poll was conducted by regional pollster, Peter W. Wickham. Wickham heads the Caribbean Development Research Services, Inc. (CADRES), a Barbados-based consulting firm specializing in public opinion polling. His polling predictions have often caused controversy and have been wrong in predicting elections results in a number of Caribbean islands.

    Mr. Peter Wickham has been under close scrutiny by some political leaders and their supporters in recent years, because of the continuous inaccuracy of his predictions of general elections and his close relationship with some leaders of the region. Those factors have created doubts in the minds of the electorate and have caused them to question his predictions whenever they are made. And it is for those reasons why most Vincentians are disturbed with Mr. Wickham’s recent predictions.

    For instance, Mr. Wickham was wrong in 2006 when he predicted that the St. Lucia Labour Party (SLP) would have won the general elections there. Then, to everyone’s surprise, Sir John Compton’s United Workers Party (UWP) won eleven (11) of the seventeen (17) seats. Those elections results sent shock waves throughout the Caribbean because Mr. Wickham’s poll had the SLP to win those elections. In addition, in 2008, Mr. Peter Wickham went to Grenada,
    conducted his poll and reported that the New National Party (NNP) was on its way to victory. When the elections results were announced, the National Democratic Congress (NDC), headed by Tillman Thomas, won the general elections. The results of the elections prompted one observer to comment about the inaccuracy of Peter Wickham’s poll. He declared that every sensible Grenadian knew that Keith Mitchell was heading for defeat. Mr. Wickham alone did not know.
    – See more at: http://thevincentian.com/ndp-view-polls-and-peter-wickham-p4140-107.htm#sthash.VdYE4MEr.dpuf

  91. grammar police
    October 29, 2014

    Ok Nostradamus!

  92. seven
    October 29, 2014

    20 yrs of labour 15 yrs of skeritte who vex take liat an vamous ,,noting uwp can do,,team dominica hav to get a next league not to run dominica,never..

  93. Mee3
    October 29, 2014

    Very interesting. We have to ask our selves how thes polls were carried out and where they were carried out. The poll also reveals that 13% are unsure who tthey are going to vote and 14% won’t reveal, 43%DLP and 30%UWP. Keep in mind that 27% can go either way according to the poll, this could mean it would give the UWP 57% and a win or the DLP 70% and a landslide. Now keep in mind this is a DLP poll and if you are going to vote labour, there is a pretty good chance you will say that to the person conducting the poll. The fact that 27% are unsure or won’t reveal, there is a good chance they will be voting UWP. Putting some seats in play is not going down good with the DLP i can imagine but i believe there are much more that’s in play. DLP sure seat are GrandBay, Portsmounth, VilleCase, Petite Savanne and Cottage, the UWP sure seats are Marigot, Salisbury, Roseau Central and I believe Laplain, the others can go eitherway. This is going to be a very close election but my silent poll is giving an edge to UWP 12-9. I also cannot believe he said that 2% said corruption was a main factor/concern. I believe that is more like 82%. Thanks to UWP (Mr.Linton) the fertilizer and the bin scandals came out and many more we are not speaking off right now. Not mentioning trying to jail Mr.Linton for something Tony Astaphans did (email scandal) and the list goes on. I say to mr. Wickham to poll correctly and include independent people who will speak the truth and say it as it is.

    I am Dominica(n), I am independent

  94. Harry Mack
    October 29, 2014

    “According to Wickham the poll shows a 43 percent preference for the DLP and 30 percent for the UWP. Thirteen percent of respondents were unsure which party to support while 14 percent refused to reveal their preferred candidate or party”.
    Let’s make some analysis of this information. To me it appears that Labour is in trouble. Labour Party supporters are generally more vocal and not afraid to tell everybody that they are voting Red. Therefore, it is fair to say that the 13% of unsure respondents will not vote Labour, they may not vote, the 14% who refused to talk are surely supporters of the opposition who are too afraid to talk in this hostile environment.
    So here we go, 57% of the vote is against Labour. I can safely justify my conclusion on the based following:
    1. Any body who did not vote Labour in the past elections will not vote them now.
    2. There is a significant number of voters who left the Labour Party since the last election.
    3. The good Freedom Party will vote for change.
    4. The farmers, construction workers, youth, unemployed, truck drivers, business people, professionals and working class will NOT vote Labour.
    5. If UWP runs a SMART campaign, Labour will be left with only their base, the Yes We Care supporters and the bunch of opportunists who have benefited from the party and enriched themselves.
    UWP Team Dominica should be encouraged by the results of the poll. Peter Wickham has revealed that Skerrit and his Labour Party only have 43% support on the ground, let’s take that and run with it.
    If I were Skerrit I would have a difficult sleep tonight.
    The only thing that can save him is Plane loads of votes from overseas.
    Look out Dominica! Plan B to bring in the voters is going to be implemented.

  95. October 29, 2014

    I always mention UWP will win more seats not enough to win general election folks am not for either party if UWP had done a good campaign previous election tell the voters what there agenda are they would had a better chance this coming election.it’s gonna be tuff for any opposition in Dominica to win a election in Dominica without funds, it’s about bride voters in Dominica that’s what the DLP does.

  96. DC
    October 29, 2014

    Only the dreamers thought otherwise. Together we shall march onto victory. We won’t be intimidated by the wolves in sheep’s clothing. The false prophets can come here and disguise themselves as supporters of the DLP, however, we won’t bow down. That weak strategy will not work. The DLP has earned five more years and they will be given a bigger mandate this time. False prophets, step aside. DLP, for the continued development of Dominica!

  97. MagaretJ
    October 29, 2014

    So, if DLP is 43%, UWP is 30%, and undecided/no response is a total of 27%, how can this polster say with any level of confidence that DLP will win? If the 27% votes UWP, UWP will have 57% of the votes, and therefore the majority. Is this man a professional? Is he assuming that the 27% will not vote, or they will all vote for DLP? Where are the 43% located – throughout the 21 constituencies or a few? Since Dominica’s voting system is based on the number of seats and not by majority vote, how relevant is this poll. This is an empty poll!

  98. Green Grove
    October 29, 2014

    he should note that when the house is dissolved all hell will break loose……things that were asleep will come alive…

    during the campaign folks should look for the swing..

    based on how recent rating of the Labour Functions at Lagoon and Melville Hall that’s a serious indication that the swing is to the blue…wasn’t CADRES who said earlier that the skero name couldn’t sell across the lenght and breath of Dominica he has lost that charm…..

    this election labour will be tricked the polls will prove that..
    the money issues won’t crunch if off..as many a Dominica will know that’s payment for 5 years….

  99. workers
    October 29, 2014

    really i must be honest.i really cant come up with 8 seats labour is going to loose from the 18 they now hold.they must loose 8 for workers to win

    • Anonymous
      October 30, 2014

      I’ll help you out.
      Here are your 8 seats labor loosing
      1.Wesley
      2.la plaine
      3. Castle Bruce
      4. Morne Juan
      5.Roseau north
      6.Roseau central
      7.Roseau valley
      8.colihaut or st Joseph take your pick
      There is your 8 +1

  100. Anonymous
    October 29, 2014

    Weak-arm find something better to do with your time man. Want to give the PM heart attack.

  101. Michael
    October 29, 2014

    Only a 2 per cent swing, Peter?

  102. joe
    October 29, 2014

    Folks remember Labour not yet start campaigning eh so when we start all those un-sures is Labour they will vote…

    Final Result – DLP 20 UWP – 1 come Election day in 2015!!!!!

  103. Anonymous
    October 29, 2014

    PApa Skewo must be shaking, these polls are just too close. Margee you doing in the country what you expect. People cannot graduate due to unpaid fees, employment low low low and you living high high high, you putting ban in Ebola for two days , stupidness you doing time to go rest man you taking the post for a joke. Go man you take enough from us for your personal gain. Mweh fasha… Stupess.

  104. ruh
    October 29, 2014

    well just add the 14 undecided to the decided 30 what do you get? the undecided are those really who don’t want to lose their jobs and really don’t care too much for party politics like me cause I wasn’t interviewed or asked my opinion.

  105. ??
    October 29, 2014

    “”while two percent of those interviewed were concerned abour corruption.””

    Therein lies the problem with this population.

  106. call it nor!
    October 29, 2014

    ahahaahh loook marge!! wickham are u an idiot lol. 13% unsure which party to vote and i sure that 13 % will not vote for skerite lol the other 14 % doe want to reveal so what that telling u ? they not voting for the dlp so they fraid victimization so they rather keep there mouth shut. so if skerit think he winning that election telling him call it nor haha . u and ur coshony poll lol . lennox must win that election lol and there is nothing he can do about it. just walk arround roseau and environs and u will hear the people. mr skerite i dear u to call the election :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D

  107. Pedro
    October 29, 2014

    If the Labour poll gave them a win the poll would remain secret. The only reason it was exposed to the public, is because Labour is Loosing the election. Asked the Pastors, they know the truth.

  108. labour in my blood
    October 29, 2014

    alu know we win long time… they dont even need to call election because we win already………………. we red red redddyyyy……………… Ian must win soufriere doe talk for point michele and scott head and gallion………… ian pinard all the way

  109. ROSEAU BOI
    October 29, 2014

    how comes I was not questioned in this poll, were you questioned? The people that really matter were not questioned I am sure…think about it, this is like an ostrich hiding his head in a hole and not wanting to face the obvious defeat of the DLP

    • Anonymous
      October 29, 2014

      Unfortunately you seem to believe that they were suppose to be psychic and pull out supporters of SPECIFIC parties to interview.

      Unfortunately you have no knowledge on how POLLS are run.

      Sadly they didn’t question you like you would make a big difference in the polls

      Sadly you have been defeated. Let it rest.

      The same people that were interviewed will be voting. so of course their reasoning is showing you, that REGARDLESS who you interview, its just the fact that most Dominicans do not want LINTON for Prime Minister!

  110. Just Observing
    October 29, 2014

    Very interesting. Changes may occur in Roseau North, Wesley, Morne Jaune and La Plaine? Interesting. So DLP may lose 4 seats from its current eighteen seats, and pickup one seat for a result of 15 to 6? Is that what the poll is saying?

    • Michael
      October 29, 2014

      That’s what Peter Wickham’s poll is suggesting.

  111. hill
    October 29, 2014

    from d time uwp say they wining colihaut I say uwp mad,dublanc is fully labour bioche is now labour ,only colihaut dat hav a handful of uwp,,but uwp claim win..stjoe u could easy see whole section everybdy labour but sparatic uwp but they claim win

    • rainbow
      October 29, 2014

      lol lol what you saying there na?

  112. Positively Dominican
    October 29, 2014

    No surprise! This is a paid political results and election ploy. The results are not reliable!

    • Honest Dominican
      October 29, 2014

      Positive Dominican, You are thinking just the same as I am. This pole is so unrealistic and unreliable. Look who they chose to do the polls… Only 48 residents in 21 constituencies. This is not enough of a good selection sample. It’s not a true reflection. So only approximately 2 residents per constituency? What about residents like me? Do a better research on the numbers of those darn cell phones almost everyone per household carry and do some polling on the telephone calls.

      This is just another ploy from Skerrit to try to fool peopleso they will not have a voice. He wants them to think if the polls show that Labour is winning again, why not vote for labor because if I show my true colours and vote for UWP and labor wins again as the ‘so called polls suggest’ then I will be victimized and I have to eat too!

  113. Country Woman
    October 29, 2014

    Press conference every other day now, and now all media house are invited. Wicked people, God will judge.

  114. October 29, 2014

    Its Funny he could not predict correctly in the land of his birth where he lives but he is able to predict in another man country.

    • Anonymous
      October 29, 2014

      lol, alway the case

  115. My View
    October 29, 2014

    “Additionally, based on the result of the poll, head of CADRES, Peter Wickham said there there will be no change of government in the next general election.”
    Those were the same predictions made for Grenada, Barbados, Antigua ect. In all three situations, the incumbent won landslides. I have no confidence in that poll.

  116. Homeland Security
    October 29, 2014

    Isn’t this a conflict of interest?
    The DLP hires an entity to conduct a poll; that same entity has no choice but to publish results which are favorable to the DLP.
    An independent poll needs to be conducted to reflect the true leanings of the electorate.

    • Ba You Bwa
      October 29, 2014

      The premise of your last statement may be on point. However, deep-pocketed political parties do this all the time; that is, finance opinion polls to gauge how the electorate views them at a given point in time. No strange thing there.

      Welcome to the new realities in electoral politics, my friend.

  117. Mine
    October 29, 2014

    What is really wrong with this fool… He is now using percentage, what happen to his 18 DLP and 3 UWP seats. This guy needs to get back in his hole for no intelligent person is listening.

    • it does not matter
      October 29, 2014

      He got a lot of criticism in antigua they called him mad, fool and all types of negative names, but the end results proved him right. He was right on target when he said the Labour party would 13 seats in antigua with barbuda making 14. What up needs to do is to take a cue from that.

  118. October 29, 2014

    I’m Expecting an election date in the pm independence speech

  119. I amwhatiam
    October 29, 2014

    I thought that Skerrit said that he would be getting 21 seats, and Tim Tim said 20 I am giving the DLP 22 seats, therefore since they are pretty comfortable they should call the election and stay in power. On another note this is nothing strange Peter has had polls in the past which has proven very much wrong.

  120. October 29, 2014

    Smh. I don’t believe dominicans are that blind

  121. wolf among thesheep
    October 29, 2014

    Peter you were wrong too many time , i will take your poll with a bag of salt

  122. October 29, 2014

    That is not a suprise to me at all!

  123. Are you sure?
    October 29, 2014

    CADRES normally evaluates the impact of the swing against the governing party, which in this instance is the DLP and within the range of likely variations has determined that any movement in this election would take place in Roseau North, Wesley, La Plaine, Morne Jaune and Roseau Central. We do not anticipate any additional seats outside of this group “changing hands” nor do we expect that there would be a change of government in the next election.”

    Lmao…and skerro say he taking Salisbury and Marigot? How you can say they not changing hands? You tryna break my pm confidence? lol..

    Say thanks to tony for raising Thompson solidarity…if he did not clean his tongue on Thompson back More Jaune would probably still be with Ivor…

  124. Anonymous
    October 29, 2014

    Nothing new or surprising……

  125. solution2dispolute
    October 29, 2014

    thats a bogus AND KANGAROO POLL…if you so right about that why you didnot state how many seats each party gets…bogus bogus and more bogus peter

  126. politricks
    October 29, 2014

    lol? this ain’t 2009, you have been wrong on many occasions wickham, Dominicans are fed-up…take your inaccurate polls back to bdos please.

  127. MyMyMy
    October 29, 2014

    The Dont knows and Wont says are uwp supporters…just afraid of victimization…so they keeping quiet. Now add those to the predicted 30% for UWp.

    • Just Observing
      October 29, 2014

      ha ha ha!!!! very interesting.

  128. Dominica First
    October 29, 2014

    Hahahahahaha, look jokes in DA. Exactly what we were expecting from Peter Wickham. CHANGE IS A DEFINITE MUST, TEAM DOMINICA UWP all the way

  129. Yes i
    October 29, 2014

    Rubbish

  130. MyMyMy
    October 29, 2014

    oh ok…now we know…please call the election. The almighty Peter Wickham has spoken…..it must be true!

  131. watchdog
    October 29, 2014

    well DUUUHHHHHHH………… Dis we expect anything different in this poll???

    • Anonymous
      October 29, 2014

      This is a true reflection of the will of the people

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