Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 450 miles east of the Windward Islands continue to show signs of organization and a tropical cyclone could be forming.

If this trend continues, a tropical depression or a tropical storm could form this afternoon into tonight while the system moves west-northwestward to westward at about 20 mph towards the Lesser Antilles.

The general public is strongly advised to monitor the progress of this system as a tropical storm watch or warning may be issued for Dominica at any time once the system has been upgraded.

The system is expected to bring moderate to heavy rains, scattered thunderstorms and strong gusty winds, possibly to tropical storm force across Dominica beginning tonight and continuing into Thursday. Current rainfall projection is between 3 to 6 inches (75 -150mm) with higher amounts in elevated areas. Dangerous seas are also expected with waves near 14 feet.

Both inland and coastal flooding is therefore possible.

Mariners and other users of the sea are advised to be extremely cautious and to remain in port.

Persons in areas prone to flooding, landslides and falling rocks are advised to be extremely vigilant and to exercise caution as flash flooding and strong winds are possible. Persons in vulnerable areas should plan ahead and take all precautionary measures to protect life and property particularly from tonight into Thursday.

The Dominica Meteorological Service will continue to provide updates on the progress of this system.