DLP will win again, pollster suggests

Peter Wickham
Peter Wickham

Regional pollster and analyst, Peter Wickham, has suggested that the Dominica Labour Party (DLP) will win again when the next general election is called.

“I think a change of government this time is a pipe dream,” Wickham, told local newspaper, The Sun.

He opined that in order for any party to defeat the DLP, an 11 percent swing is needed.

“In my opinion it looks unassailable,” Wickham said.

Despite this the pollster told The Sun that there are a number of seats with ‘really, really close’ margins.

According to him La Plaine, Morne Jaune and Roseau North constituencies are “most at risk, with each requiring a less than one per cent swing to change hands.”

Wesley (2.4 percent) and Castle Bruce (4.8 percent) are described as ‘shaky’ for the DLP.

Wickham pointed out that even if the opposition United Workers Party (UWP), wins these seats the DLP would still maintain a relatively comfortable lead of 13 seats.

Other seats held by the DLP that fall within the 11 per cent swing range are Mahaut (8.5 perecent), St. Joseph (8.8 percent), Soufriere (9.4 percent) and the Carib Territory (9.6 percent), with Roseau South falling just outside the range (11.1 percent), he told The Sun.

“Labour has been very, very strong since 1990,” Wickham said.

However, Wickham said that an 11 percent swing is not unheard of since this has taken place in Grenada and Barbados because of infighting.

He told The Sun that despite the euphoria surrounding the election of Lennox Linton as political leader of the UWP, the party still faces ‘a challenge’ in catching the attention of voters.

Wickham has conducted several surveys in the past for the DLP. He is the head of the Caribbean Development Research Services Inc. (CADRES), a Barbados-based consulting firm specializing in public opinion polling.

The next general election is constitutionally due in 2015.

Copyright 2012 Dominica News Online, DURAVISION INC. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or distributed.

Disclaimer: The comments posted do not necessarily reflect the views of DominicaNewsOnline.com and its parent company or any individual staff member. All comments are posted subject to approval by DominicaNewsOnline.com. We never censor based on political or ideological points of view, but we do try to maintain a sensible balance between free speech and responsible moderating.

We will delete comments that:

  • contain any material which violates or infringes the rights of any person, are defamatory or harassing or are purely ad hominem attacks
  • a reasonable person would consider abusive or profane
  • contain material which violates or encourages others to violate any applicable law
  • promote prejudice or prejudicial hatred of any kind
  • refer to people arrested or charged with a crime as though they had been found guilty
  • contain links to "chain letters", pornographic or obscene movies or graphic images
  • are off-topic and/or excessively long

See our full comment/user policy/agreement.

154 Comments

  1. Dominican Queen
    September 13, 2013

    DNO is really a workers news agent. When the comments are not in their favour, they go on different computers and phones to red flag it.

    DNO can not win an election, and most of the voters will not vote Lennox Linton. He doesn’t know people. Skeritt is a people’s person. Although Lennox is a good replacement for Edison, another loser, he is not politics material. He cannot take the pressure of politics even though he gives pressure. And he can only speak on radio where he wont be face to face with others.

    The very same person who speaks out on the radio will drive by and pretend he doesn’t know people.

  2. Ba Ob
    September 13, 2013

    The Leader of the Opposition did not agree with the nominee of the Prime Minister.

    By strict interpretation, the constitution required that the Prime Minister inform the Speaker of the House of Assembly. This was done.

    The next step was to convene a meeting of the house. This was done.

    Within that period the nominee withdrew her consent based on the vehement opposition to the nomination by the Leader of the Opposition.

    Due to the fact that the house was already convened the Prime Minister consulted the Leader of the Opposition within the reasonable available time to seek an agreement with him before the meeting of the house.

    The leader of the Opposition did not agree with the nominee, instead he placed a caveat on the nominee knowing very well that time was of the essence. This is a very unpatriotic attempt to derail the country into a constitutional crisis.

    That stage of the process cannot be reversed but if the Leader of the Opposition truly wishes, he has enough time to agree with the Prime Ministers nominee. There is nothing unconstitutional about that. Unfortunately, the leader of the Opposition is not interested in preserving the constitution; he and the United Workers Party are politicking on the back of the constitution.

    Herein lays the underhand and back stabbing of the country by the United Workers Party.

    Dominicans, be wear of the United Workers Party.

    So my pumpkin come better that that

    Ba Bo

  3. Too Hard Too Long
    September 13, 2013

    I wish we would focus on the message, the facts instead of always just attacking the messenger.

    The story never said Wickham did a poll now. It said he did several polls in the past. Right now he appears to be simply stating what happened in the last elections. What he said is true. Several constituencies were really close. These are the ones which can turn the tables against the DLP.

  4. FarmBoy
    September 13, 2013

    Colihaut: 421
    Cottage: 807
    Grand Bay: 1230
    Mahaut: 679
    Paix Bouche: 1006
    Petite Savanne: 975
    Portsmouth: 1160
    Roseau South: 919
    Soufiere: 437
    Vielle Case: 893

    Labour beat UWPWII in these constituencies by those number of votes. All the talk is useless, tell me how you going to defeat DLP in these places? And thats 10 sure seats, all they will need is 1 from the remaining 11, 8 of which they won last election.

  5. CaraW
    September 13, 2013

    Oh yes, they will win. Dominicans like freeness. Don’t you see we are becoming a nation of obese people, setting records for obesity in the region? This is all because we like to receive and not work hard.

  6. possie
    September 12, 2013

    only in DA people does take Miss Wick on..mention dat name to any Bagan an you’l hear wat they ‘ll you. “me nuh worry wid he. is man he live wif”

  7. big
    September 12, 2013

    lenox make them pee pee on them :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

  8. ty
    September 12, 2013

    My God you all are not easy in Dominica. Lord have many on them all.

  9. jahjah
    September 12, 2013

    change is are must its not an option

  10. great
    September 12, 2013

    Am from st. Joseph, and i did not vote the last election , but next election i am voting U.W.P . Because the labour party hurt st. Joseph really bad. They brand us as the worse and poorest village in DA. They make us. The poorest village to give us handout so that we will always vote hem . I pray that the LORD GOD will stop all the bribe and let U.W.P . Be the victor.p

    • PetProjects
      September 12, 2013

      @ great: Not just St.Joe alone…When you read articles international about Dominica ,I can beat you MOST of the time there’s always a part which states Dominican is 1 of the poorest in the Eastern Caribbean…

    • no name
      September 13, 2013

      Tired say what you want… the survey wasn’t done by any party, it was a group which conducted it and it wasn’t even a government base one so get your stats right.. who cares who you vote? shut up and put your cross when the time comes, thats the thing that kills me about all u workers, all you too like to blah blah blah, as triple kay say>>> hush your mouth

  11. great
    September 12, 2013

    Am from st. Joseph, and i did not vote the last election , but next election i am voting U.W.P . Because the labour party hurt st. Joseph really bad. They brand us as the worse and poorest village in DA. They make us. The poorest village to give us handout so that we will always vote hem . I pray that the LORD GOD will stop all the bribe and let U.W.P . Be the victor.

  12. lord help us
    September 12, 2013

    This thing is far from being accurate. Skerrit paid his servant to do a poll for him therefore his servant had to tell them what they wanted to hear.
    How could his poll be accurate when 1. An election date has not been announced 2. Voters don’t even know which candidate (s) going up 3. People cannot talk against Skerrit now because they don’t want to be victimized and get removed from the list of persons that depending on his monthly clinic for survival. 4. How could Wesley hold a 2.4% swing vote when DLP won in 2010 by less than 50 votes thanks to visiting Dominicans that were flown in late? Has Skerrit won new voters in Wesley or the opposite?

    If he feels DLP will still win then advise Mr. Skerrit to call an election now and we will see. The longer he delays it the worse it will get for him. So sing Peter sing because presidential nominee ABK is already on the stage dancing and just waiting on the arrival of Hartley Henry to kick the party. Just keep singing songs you know they want to hear

  13. Dominican
    September 12, 2013

    All I can say is, Labour not getting my vote again… big mistake on my part there.

  14. Anonymous
    September 12, 2013

    Well, all I can say is, Labour is not getting my vote again… big mistake on my part there. Don’t understand why some people still going back to vote them.

    • September 13, 2013

      DLP supporters you are not thinking with your God given interlect because most of you are not backing the policies of the party you are supporting an individual and the party is ignored, they should be asking themselves what the DLP mean to them because it doesnt mean having the residents in poverty or unemployed..
      Stop puttung the PM on a higher stone than necessary instead consider your Island and people.

  15. Reason
    September 12, 2013

    I did not see any reference to a recent poll being conducted. Was a poll conducted recently? Reference is being made to the results of last election and we all know that there have been a swing. How much is that swing is the question.

    I find it interesting that Wickham is referencing the last election at this stage. What triggered comments or statement from him? Is this a strategy to try to slow down the UWP momentum as he tried in Barbados earlier this year.

    • September 13, 2013

      Peter Wickham roll is to bring out deceptive and lies that will help the DLP which ever way possible remeber that he is also getting paid by the RM but it’s up to you the people of D’ica who will decide the next GOVT and you just have to think of the difficult times we are all going thru so dont allow the likes of Peter Wickham to play you all show him you will decide who takes up office at the end of this administration.
      YOU’LL HAVE DECIDED THAT YOU WANT A CHANGE AND THAT’S WHAT IS NEEDED NOW.

    • ester
      September 13, 2013

      hmmmm when the same survey was conducted last election thats the same thing all you was saying.. what was the outcome??? thank you very much

  16. ROMAN CATHOLDIT
    September 12, 2013

    Oh go to hell with ur results, Change is not an option,Change is a must. DLP winning wat election. UWP we getting a landslide victory.

    • Justice and Truth
      September 13, 2013

      You used the name Roman Catholic even though you spelt the last word wrong. Are you a faithful Catholic? It does not appear so. Your first four words are unbecoming of a Catholic. Watch what you state as imbedded in your heart. You should know that you never say to anyone and not on a Website, go to Hell. It is a sin. You might just end up there with them. Or you will end up there and they will end up in Heaven. Be a good, holy Catholic. Pray to God for forgiveness and go to Confession.

  17. Dominicans
    September 12, 2013

    We dont care if we eating fig and oil, is Skerro we voting! We dont even care if we hungry, is Skerro we voting. We dont care if we eating grass – once Skerro and his Ministers are in power WE DONT CARE WHAT HAPPENS TO US!!!!!!!!! Labaaaaaa

    • Justice and Truth
      September 13, 2013

      You will never starve. God always provides. :)

  18. __________________
    September 12, 2013

    All I can say is I see a 10-11 WIN FOR ONE OF THE PARTIES.

    • Justice and Truth
      September 13, 2013

      You must be a fortune teller.

  19. Monkey
    September 12, 2013

    It’s amazing how much hungry uwp supporters are calling Dominicans and yet the still want to win election in DA.When labour win next election the cry will be it was stolen,get a life.

    • Angel
      September 12, 2013

      You are really a monkey :lol:

  20. Jah Kal
    September 12, 2013

    Wickham if thing is so good no ur side why don’t u share it with the people in ST Joe u all made poor shame on Skerro and the LDP.

  21. lolz
    September 12, 2013

    Wickham you are a joke. You cannot expect to be taken seriously

  22. Monkey
    September 12, 2013

    DNO has become a propaganda machine for uwp operatives and its a shame.

  23. Just Blaze
    September 12, 2013

    UWP can never win that election. People who come on dno and and give the impression that workers ahve a chance are either wishful thinkers or complete idiots. I’m going to save this post to repost after the next election because i know I going to get dislikes and comments on here. To show you all how stupid you all were.

    • Justice and Truth
      September 13, 2013

      We are hoping they will be the laughing-stocks. :lol:

    • 4progress
      September 13, 2013

      Be careful, come the election this post might just show HOW STUPID YOU REALLY ARE.

      I am a non-political-affiliate

    • Dominican Queen
      September 13, 2013

      Just Blaze, I am going to do the same. I think DNO is just another medium for UWP supporters to vent their “losers” frustration.

      Lennox Linton is jealous of Roosevelt Skerrit. He has a lot to learn before he can become like Skerrit. He has to learn to love people, and put that high and mighty cloak down. Everywhere he goes they rejecting him, and you want to become prime minister, huh. Just wait till election.

    • Francisco Telemaque
      September 13, 2013

      You call us idiots, and what I am saying here has nothing to with the politics of the day, because I do not care who loose, or who win. Nonetheless, it takes one to know the other under certain circumstances.

      You have insulted the intelligence of many Dominicans, by spewing such garbage!

      How can someone without a name; actually a nobody who uses a fictitious, pseudo name to spew cabbage call people idiots?

      You are hiding behind a pseudo (false) name spewing your venom; an slippery snake you are talking about people are idiots. I challenge you: if you have a single credible bone in you state your name and surname here identifying yourself so that we know who you are, so that if your words return to haunt you we will know who you are.

      Nerveless, if you prove to be correct, I suppose the ones you called idiots will all conclude you were right. I suspect you will remain the slippery fictitious snake you are crawling on your yellow belly with your yellow long streak running down your back.

      You will never identify yourself!

      Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!

      I am from now on your nightmare.

      Francisco Etienne-Dods Telemaque

  24. Anonymous
    September 12, 2013

    It’s amazing though with the seats he mentioned such as Morne Jaune and La Plaine. Aren’t these all teh seats Labour won with much much question. hmmmmm I wonder if they plan to carry out the same tactics in the last election?

  25. Channel 1
    September 12, 2013

    Tell Wickham we want to know what type of sampling method was used to gather data for this poll, what was the sample size and importantly what is the margin of error in this poll.

    Also we like to know how was bias and confounders controlled for in this poll and how were the participants who took part in this poll selected.

    Folks, anytime you see a poll listed without at least a summary of critical hard data, be very suspicious of it.

  26. Looking on
    September 12, 2013

    Before we bring down or lift up the man…we should probably do some background checks…see how right has he been in the past.

    • Justice and Truth
      September 13, 2013

      The past is gone and nothing can bring it back or change it. :twisted: :mrgreen:

  27. London boy
    September 12, 2013

    Wat about the roseau valley which is very close i can c Collins beginning shake wen they lunch the new candidate from Trafalgar or wotten waven he going to pee on him they both are very popular an down to earth people.watch out

  28. Hey
    September 12, 2013

    This man hit the nail right on its head, I believe..wow

  29. Itassian by Birth
    September 12, 2013

    DNO I posted a comment in response to one of those on top; you did not show it. I posted a comment under another story using another name, you did not print it. All my comments were in keeping with the rules. Yet all comments I see supportive of the UWP you are posting them, whether they are derogatory or not.

    Yesterday I saw a particular blogger responding to every comment that was made and you posted all of them – Yes the ones with the little blue logo.

    Keep up your blatant bias but UWP will still not win the next elections. And I challenge you to print this comment.

    • Dominican Queen
      September 13, 2013

      So DNO is owned by one of the uwp members? Uhuh, so now I know. They will still lose.

  30. Yes
    September 12, 2013

    This is a phychological gimmick . This article only intention is to throw doubt on the growing new wave of excitment of the winds of change that is blowing in Dominica.
    It is meant to create doubt in the minds of the people .

  31. Anonymous
    September 12, 2013

    Well labour need not fear then….they should all be happy…leave workers and their supporters to contort themselves into a twist and go crazy come elections night and then have a big laff…

  32. SilentMajority
    September 12, 2013

    Whether or not the poll is accurate….if UWP supporters legitimately think that you all are winning the next elections…then I just hope you guys can handle dealing with disappointment…

    You guys have been letting the fact that most DLP supporters have abandoned DNO to you all due to aggressive thumbs-downing and personal attacks, give you all false hope.

  33. UDOHREADYET
    September 12, 2013

    They will will but its up to the Dominica people to challenge them with tough questions and high expectations during elections so the entire population can be heard and represented.

  34. PSALM 23
    September 12, 2013

    The Labour party is well on its way to create history in Dominica, by being the only party to have won four consecutive term in office. this is as a result of the prudent management of the country and the level of attention afforded to the country by the Labour Party.
    the old, the young, the not so old has all witness a major transformation in the overall development of the country’s infrastructure.

    this is the driving force in allowing the people to decide where this country is heading.
    things that should have been done many moons ago, have been address by this government and continues to be addressed.

    when the election will be called, the people of Dominica will give a resounding yes to the Labour Party to continue to take Dominica, where is is currently heading.

  35. langsal
    September 12, 2013

    what was the results of the poll in Barbadoes??, can someone inform me please. Peter Wickham surgested that the incumbent party which holds office would bee defeted at the polls. what happened at the count of the final ballot count??. please someone inform me???. what a waste of a piper.

  36. Marcus Hill
    September 12, 2013

    Thank you Mr. Wickham. I interpret the results of your polls as follows:

    1. La Plaine, Grandfond (you say Morn Jaune)and Roseau North: Need Very, Very little work for UWP to win these constrituencies.

    2. Wesley and Castle Bruce need a little more work for UWP to win.

    3. Mahaut, St.Joseph, Soufriere, Carib Territory and Roseau South need some work for UWP to win.

    So that is 10 plus the 3 (Marigot, Salisbury and Roseau Central) which you have not said are under threat gives the UWP 13 seats.

    I would also advise that UWP to find good candidates in Colihaut and Petit-Savanne because these two seats are “shaky” to use your term.

    • Mamize
      September 12, 2013

      well said marcus

  37. Rule
    September 12, 2013

    This poll is all psychological in nature and is designed to place doubt in the minds of intended voters. The current economic situation in Dominica, speaks for itself and people are tired of Labor.

  38. Annica Alethea
    September 12, 2013

    “Labour has been very, very strong since 1990,” Wickham said.
    This man really knows what he is talking about? Up to December 1999 Labour did not know when it was or if it would ever taste power but thanks to Eddison James who called a snap election allowing Labour to run a pennyless campaign and the Freedom Party which entered the accommodation.
    There is much more dissatisfaction with Labour now than there was with UWP IN 2000.
    The formula for defeating Labour is simple, there are four main groups of voters in Dominica:
    1. The die hard laborites which is about 14000 voters, these are the vocal ones who will jump in their red suits and show themselves in large numbers at the snap of the finger of Skerrit.
    2. The die hard UWP supporter about 13,000 who will do the same as Labour but are very cautious in showing their true colours in fear of Victimization, but as the election draws nearer they have started to come out. Look out for Londonderry on September 29th. This crowd is going to make Skerrit tremble.
    3. The third group are the Freedomites who are right now in the state of confusion, they have been betrayed by Labour and they hated UWP with a passion. But now that Lennox is at the head some will navigate towards UWP.
    4. The fourth group is the critical one and they hold the balance of power in their hands. They are the ones who will determine the results of the next election. Those of us who are not affiliated to any political party, we are looking at what is going on, we are disappointed with the arrogance, incompetence and lack of vision of the existing administration but we are skeptical of the UWP. If we are not convinced by any of the political parties many of us will not vote and with that Labour will win.
    But with the slate of candidates that UWP is attracting, it appears that Lennox may just do the trick.
    Skerrit no longer has the clout that he had in the last two elections, he knows that 80% of his present slate is incompetent and hopeless but he does not have the power to change. He would have liked to replace Reginald Austrie with Mervin Paul but Regie say touch me nuh.
    The defeat of the Labour party is quite possible, UWP must not get overwhelmed with the strides that they have been making over the last few weeks, they must make space for the accommodation of some Freedom Party leaning candidates and they must embrace the disgruntled labourites.
    If Lennox can demonstrate himself to be a uniting force, where Blue Red and Green are welcome then the 11% mountain of Peter Wickham is a joke.
    What do candidates like Ambrose George, Julius Timothy, Collin McIntyre, and the rest have to offer for the next five years that they could not have achieved in the last fifteen years?
    What does the Labour Party have to offer for the next five years that they could not do over the last fifteen? Except another five years to plunder and enrich themselves knowing that it would be their last chance.
    So Peter Wickham, take your poll and shub it, you know nothing about Dominican politics and mark my word, with one united opposition Labour will be history.
    Dominica is going to have to decide between a group of tired, aging, incompetent and desperate Labour Party with no vision and a dream team of a Lennox Linton, who has the potential of shaking up this country.

    • TF FOR GF
      September 12, 2013

      I agree with that comment

  39. Anonymous
    September 12, 2013

    Mahaut? Garcon mahaut is the surest constituency. We have the hardest working parl rep – even though he copawayzon. We want more, thats why we voted, and continue to vote BLACKMORE.

  40. Intelligent Dominica
    September 12, 2013

    Dominicans, let us put this poll into perspective. When was this poll taken? The UWP delegate’s conference was held on September 1, eleven (11) days ago. The results of the poll were in the STAR newspaper on Monday 9th. Is that enough time to conduct a reliable poll? What was the sample population. On what basis was the sampling done? Mr. Wickham as you well aware there are a lot of very intelligent Dominicans. We hold high offices worldwide. Stop making us appear as fools. You cannot do that in Barbados.

  41. Intelligent Dominica
    September 12, 2013

    Dominicans, let us put this pool into perspective. When was this pool taken? The UWP delegate’s conference was held on September 1, eleven (11) days ago. The results of the pool were in the STAR newspaper on Monday 9th. Is that enough time to conduct a reliable pool? What was the sample population. On what basis was the sampling done? Mr. Wickham as you well aware there are a lot of very intelligent Dominicans. We hold high offices worldwide. Stop making us appear as fools. You cannot do that in Barbados.

    • I DIE NU
      September 12, 2013

      Maybe you may have to get a little more intelligent!Because it’s not in UWP favuor you have this to say.

    • .............
      September 12, 2013

      Is not a pool is a poll. Nobody bathing in it.

      • Anonymous
        September 13, 2013

        LMAO!!!

  42. WHO VEX VEX
    September 12, 2013

    The truth really hurts eh
    If it was in UWP’s favor it would be a different story.

    N those guys are rarely wrong with their surveys

    • for better not worst
      September 12, 2013

      @ who vex vex you need to go crazy house, as the saying goes there is more crazy out side than inside :lol:

    • wowo
      September 12, 2013

      How can a poll correctly determine the outcome of an election if it is taken months before an election?

    • T
      September 12, 2013

      Well they are dead wrong this time around.

    • Everybody Peeping
      September 12, 2013

      typical dominican talking from the posterior. Wickham predictions in his own country Barbados were WRONG in the most recent elections a few months ago!

  43. September 12, 2013

    Once he loses in the Vielle Case constituency….that’s all that matters to me. :twisted:

    • Straight Talk
      September 12, 2013

      Really? Espoir mal papaye. Not even if he dies will he loose the Vieille Case seat.

    • Itassian by Birth
      September 12, 2013

      That and God’s face you will NEVER see. So dream on still. God is not sleeping, nor is he from Marigot!!!!!

    • Labour to da world
      September 13, 2013

      you jus a joke you da me na dere, ndo should hide your comment…. it have to take 5 constituences votes put together for skerrit to lose in his village

  44. Anonymous
    September 12, 2013

    Peter we spoke after your poll for the last general election in Dominica. Could you tell us who commissioned and paid for this poll?

    As you mention in Barbados, polls are expensive so someone must have had to pay.

    I will not at discuss the results and intentions of your polls in Barbados earlier this year at this stage.

  45. Francisco Telemaque
    September 12, 2013

    That piece of crap, Wickman need to shut his darn mouth!

    You are not in Dominica, you are not suffering; however, the cry, and voices of the suffering people of Dominica are highly audible; shut your bloody mouth, and stop interfering in our nations politics!

    If you are Barbadian, you need to note that Barbados is at this very moment regarded as one of the most corrupt places in the Caribbean. Concentrate on your personal ,and nation business, and stay clear of ours.

    Think abut that, and stop your propaganda, we are tired of your kind interfering into our politics, what happens in our country by the time the next election comes around should be no concern of yours or any other foreigner!

    Who died and crown you god over Dominica, and our people?

    We are capable of dealing with our political issues, we do not need any outside political help or advise from the pea brain element such as you, keep your opinions to yourself, be a man in your own home, keep it under control if you can, your advise and concern as to what you think is going to happen, Dominicans do not want to hear it!

    Your predictions are irrelevant, the people of Dominica are the ones who matter, and what they do at the poles will count, not your stupid comments.

    And in all you say do not mention Wesley in your thing, because I am very territorial, Wesley is my territory, and I will devourer you raw for simply mentioning “Wesley” in reference to Dominica.

    Mind your business, stay out of our politics!

    Whichever party win or loose, we Dominicans have to live with the outcome; while you remain where you are spreading propaganda: you are nothing more than a propaganda machine.

    Francisco Etienne-Dods Telemaque

    • Justice and Truth
      September 13, 2013

      Telemaque! Be respectful. :twisted: :twisted: :twisted:

  46. papa
    September 12, 2013

    UWP supporters just cant face the facts, This is the same guy who predicted the massive defeat yo all got at the polls last election, he was right then. he predicted a defeat for the former government of Grenada, he was right, although his prediction was incorrect at the last Barbados election but prior to the last election in Barbados he was correct when he said Owen Author would b defeated. so this guy is correct 9o% of the time, thats the true facts

  47. Fools
    September 12, 2013

    The ppl who comment for uwp are extreme which scares away the voters.If your party lost the last election you need to attract ppl.

    • Jah Kal
      September 12, 2013

      Don’t be scared u a still sleeping they a just trying to educate awaking u .

    • Justice and Truth
      September 13, 2013

      They will not be able to attract people if they keep on being cantankerous and boisterous. This also commences with those who support them on this Website and provide their comments against DLP. They are further damaging UWP’s reputation. It is already bad. God may punish them on Election Day. We hope.

  48. lindie
    September 12, 2013

    linton is an oportunist who just pretent to be honest and trustworthy.the same lennox that is calling the dominica labour party corrupt,is the same lennox that went to assist the st.kitts labour to campaign,a party which is known to be one of the most corrupt in the caribbean.so i guess you are worst than skerrit mr linton.

  49. 4progress
    September 12, 2013

    I do not believe this statement has any credence if it only based on historical data. The current pulse is what is required.

    It would be advisable for UWP to carry out their own survey

  50. Jill
    September 12, 2013

    What’s worng with this guy meddling in the internal affairs of Dominica? Barbados is not enough for him.

  51. Faceup
    September 12, 2013

    Hey bro how much dollars did you get to put your name behind this article EH?? LABOUR PARTY MUST GO !

    • Anonymous
      September 12, 2013

      How much money did you get to come on DNO and sing.

      • Anonymous
        September 12, 2013

        How much money did you get to come on DNO and sing. Wonder if you got any from the red clinic?

      • Everybody Peeping
        September 12, 2013

        and how much did they pay u to come and counter what MAJORITY on here are saying?

        Cant u guys see that you are out numbered?? The tide has changed….LABOUR MUST FLIPPING GO

  52. DC
    September 12, 2013

    We did not have to get the findings of an analyst to figure this out. We have people predicting the election results based on comments here, however, these same people object to these findings. Stop the denial folks, because when faced with reality it can be very detrimental. UWP is not ready for general Election, they have yet to recruit and secure candidates for the twenty one constituencies. The PM should call elections before the year is over.

    • Jill
      September 12, 2013

      Keep quiet Mr. DC- Mr Am

      • DC
        September 12, 2013

        I am a mother, and very much a woman. Thank you.

    • DANZIGER
      September 12, 2013

      AMEN @ DC, this time my children will vote, is SKERRO ,SKERRO, SKERRO AND LABOUR ALL THE WAY. We love our SKERRO cuz the little man has a lot to offer his country, we will vote our dimple man agian and agian. ALL ON BOARD LABOUR TRAIN LETS CONTINUE WITH OUR MAIN MAN SKERRO TAKE IT OR LEAVE IT.

      • Justice and Truth
        September 13, 2013

        Those who do not know that or see it are short-sighted and lacking insight and intelligence. :lol:
        Danziger, I hope you have an enjoyable time on Sunday. :)

  53. Frank Talker
    September 12, 2013

    Wickham is a BIG joke! The language he uses in his poll results expresses his bias for DLP. It is clear that he was commissioned by the DLP to “make a poll” for them.

    • Labour to da world
      September 13, 2013

      lol frank.. wat did he predicted last election? what happened? was it biasness or facts.. you all workers silly

  54. New Yorker
    September 12, 2013

    DNO, Your research will show that this Peter Wickham conducted a poll during the last election in Barbados and the results of his poll gave a clear victory to the opposition, today the opposition is still in opposition. The question is how credible is that poll by Peter Wickham.

  55. 100% Proud Dominican
    September 12, 2013

    We going all the way with the Labour Party…AGAIN! UWP eh ready yet, even with their new “Leader” who has way too much ego!

    • ah who???
      September 12, 2013

      trust allu those laba powder ppl to find something wrong with the UWP Leader. At first Eddison nose was to big”he was too ugly to be a Prime Minister” now Lennox have too much ego. Ebeh allu does well give it to me with allu shallow minds. Pretty boy allu wanted look at what pretty boy doing. SMDH!

  56. Rastar-Marn
    September 12, 2013

    The only way you can come with these numbers is if you in on the Bigger Plan,,,

    “Rigged Election”

    But then Again with all what’s going on around the globe with all these Election fraud it’s nothing for the same to take place with a populous counting so few voters,,,

    Marn is rather curious to know how you can come up wiff these stats and where is d hard data you have for a place dat doh even have enough people to count ballots at election time much more for people to generate all these Statistical Guesstimations, 2 years before election,,,

    DNO what exactly is allyou agenda nuh!!!

  57. Troublesome
    September 12, 2013

    How can you say the food is tasting good when you haven’t had a taste. Its like saying I can cook and you have never cook. Mr. Wickham is living in a fantasy world by his opinion which is nothing close to the fact, which is the persons in Dominica is hunger and thirst for change….

    • Troublesome
      September 12, 2013

      Based on reading this article shows that, the DLP is using a strategy to get there fit back on there supporters after they themselves as mister loosing confidence in themselves since they haven’t follow there manifesto withing the past 4 to 14 years. AND THEY ARE USING BROTHER Wickham as an instrument to gain there vote with this ridiculous article….

  58. ZULU
    September 12, 2013

    Did he actually carry out a recent poll or just looking at past election statistics and making an assumption. Its not clear.

    The last i check growth was negative, national debt has skyrocketed and prodiction has declined. The only thing experiencing growth is the PM personal wallet, security and the amount of addicts on the streets of roseau and amount of people made dependant on government.

    Why not carry out a poll on the advancement of young people working home, their ability to purchase property, raise a familly and have a secure financial future.

    I can carry out a poll to show Lennox Linton can win the presidency of the US if he runs for president there.

  59. Words
    September 12, 2013

    Daniel answered the king and said, “No wise men, enchanters, magicians, or astrologers can show to the king the mystery that the king has asked – Daniel 2: 27

    The power which lays within me is certain that my needs can be fulfilled through the executions of my request for a change since my rights are not being respect. My power is MY vote and no man with no “SUGGESTION” can prevent me from doing so, no excuse can prevent me form exercising my right to VOTE. I need a change, and i am not going to say “because they is my party i voting fpr them again” … NO, I do it for me, for my country for my family, NOT for party, i want a CHANGE! No belief that if i vote or not they will still win.. NO, I can only make a difference if i vote! I want a change! My suggestion is: VOTE! Dominicans we need to vote! there are some people who don’t believe in it, let us all encourage them to go and vote this year! We need a change and we must vote! You are the kings and queens, THEY are the ones who are working for us. We need people who will “work’ for us, not people that have us laboring for them. Thanks for the heads up Mr. Wickham, now there is passion in a mission for change!

  60. grell
    September 12, 2013

    Wickham guess your right and all the constituents are a bunch of people begging for a dollar,esp st.joe,that place is a tearful now,yet these hungry people still vote labour.

  61. for better not worst
    September 12, 2013

    In your dreams dream on brother dream on… when skerrit take a women like ma boyd to put for president I believe he wants to be voted out..When a prime minister getting election on the front line for action he not suppose to do them kind of things… A change must come VOTE him out… STUPPESS :twisted: :mrgreen: :-x

    • for better not worst
      September 12, 2013

      Oh one more thing it’s alright to dream we all dream at one point in our life… enjoy it while it last… FOOLS :lol:

      • for better not worst
        September 12, 2013

        On an other note they must be passing you some money under the table .. hah go on sing for your super.. soon you will have no super.. 8-O

  62. Barrack Obama
    September 12, 2013

    The UWP is not interested in contesting an election. The want to enter government on technicalities.

    Can you imagine after the 2005 and 2009 election 5 governments seat and asked the speaker to suspend the members from the house of assembly pending the results of the case.

    They are willing to do anything outside a general election to get into government.

    It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to recognize that the UWP knows for a fact that they do not have the support of the majority of the Dominican electorate.

    they prefer

    1. Oppose the construction of an international Air Port
    2. Protest
    3. Frivolous law suits
    4. Boycott Parliament
    5. Protest
    6. No election without ID cards
    7. Protest
    8. Technicalities

    • Words
      September 12, 2013

      That is your opinion, Thank you, however, if they are not protested against, if the crookedness is not adjusted and straightened out by fighting for legal rights through law suits, if we do not request voter ID cards and allow boh-bol to go on then what else can we do. OHHH yes, the best thing we can do is what you state as number one, OHHH but actually, YOU ARE the ones doing it already… hahaha… WE ARE! for the construction for an international airport, YOU are the ones opposing it. ahaha Is that how YOU really intend to stay in government. All this talk and schemes you are working before election, I am yet to see anything on how you are ready to CHANGE what is going on in the country, when are you going to answer our questions on transparency, what are the plans for making the country’s people live in better conditions and under better standards? stop throwing magic dust in the people’s eyes. WE NEED CHANGE. and by right, it is soo disgusting right now, they should be asked to “step down” due to Technicalities.

    • Jah Kal
      September 12, 2013

      Don`t use the president name to talk ur BS we on the other side of world is listening to what happening to our beautiful country people like u will always stay begging ur Jackass

  63. Me Again
    September 12, 2013

    Wickham has based his “opinion” on survey numbers, which are, at best, unreliable. He has not considered the current feelings of the Dominican people, since he undertook his commissioned survey.

    I submit that Wickham is introducing his political bias into his own survey.

    • Bogoroy
      September 12, 2013

      Lol! So, are you saying that perception of peoples’ “feelings” is a more reliable measure of political support than recorded numbers, which were attained through a scientific process?

      Mehnnn! You guys are truly living in Lala Land!

      • Just Me
        September 12, 2013

        Wickham’s survey is a survey of feelings from which numbers are derived. It passes as scientific because of statistical application.

        My contention is that his survey is not based on CURRENT feelings which would indicate otherwise. Did you not understand that?

  64. Intel
    September 12, 2013

    The events leading to the day of just casting the vote is very important. Those activities should be done always according to the Electoral laws and Constitution. Has the Electoral Process already been flawed?

    The “Independent” Electoral Commission requested from Skerritt’s DLP Govt., about 8 years ago, funds to produce, specifically, Voter ID Cards and to be able to clean up the bloated Voters’ List. The OAS, CARICOM recommended the same to Govt. All in the effort to ensure our elections are free and fair.

    The Constitution gives the Commission the right to act independently re. election affairs. The Commission is the body responsible to conduct elections .

    But the same Commission was forced to go with Skerritt’s Govt. plan to produce Nation ID Cards instead, far from what the Commission itself originally wanted. All you not seeing that the Commission has been heavily influenced? Its ‘independence gone? Isn’t there a reason for that? Why would any Govt. be so stubborn to implement real electoral reforms to the benefit of all?

    The role of the Electoral Commission cannot be to facilitate any ruling Govt. and to buckle under any political influences. It must ensure the playing field is level. Bribery laws must be respected. The Constitution must be respected. Concerns of campaign financing must be addressed now. Wikileaks told us about ……….. forget?

  65. lindie
    September 12, 2013

    workers MIGHT just win marigot and salisbury.no more than two.i hope dr.benjamin will be on duty on the night of the election.

  66. Anonymous
    September 12, 2013

    Skerrit has made two big politically costly mistakes and both involve women, (1) taking a bride in secret, keeping out all the people who love and adore him and also his fellow cabinet members and (2) nominating as President the most controversial woman in Dominica.

    • Really!
      September 12, 2013

      @ Anonymous, it’s a joke you making; Skerritt did announce to the public about his engagement and also his marriage. But that was done at the couple’s time. I guess Skerritt should also give the public a schedule of his love making time!! Lol

    • DANZIGER
      September 12, 2013

      NO,no you wrong that made us love SKERRO MORE THAN BEFORE.

    • Anonymous
      September 13, 2013

      That’s the man business it’s his personal life.
      Some people get married and don’t invite their friends..
      Hmmmmmmmm.
      By the way DNO please again my name used here is NOT ANONYMOUS OK….
      I DON’T APPRECIATE THAT.
      Thank you…

  67. li
    September 12, 2013

    labour

  68. li
    September 12, 2013

    those workers known that they will not win the election.they will have to stay in the yard for another five years

  69. Glo Chaud
    September 12, 2013

    Eben Wickham ou sort;;;;Your prediction will be the laugh that leads to the shout of horay for UWP supporters. The swing seats are the ones when heavy importation took place in the last elections…La Plaine, Morne Jaune, Roseau North and St.Joseph are definitely going back home to UWP. Can they (DLP) do another mass migration given the ice age decline in the lives of Dominicans since the last elections? Rise in Crime (drug trafficking on the rise) Unemployment, Homosexuality by unemployed males, and the list goes on and on…..if not for yourselves think about your children Dominicans vote Labor out its the only way to cure our bobo.

    • Everybody Peeping
      September 12, 2013

      they will not be landing in Marigot. thats for sure.

  70. Really!
    September 12, 2013

    HEHEHEHEHE….Labour will win my foot!!! Not with all that nonsense that this government is doing. In order for Mr Skerrit to WIN again he has to THIEF de election. So I really don’t where partner come out and talking about labour will win…smh

  71. Am just saying
    September 12, 2013

    Me personally I want to know what were the sample size for these supposed surveys. How scientific are your surveys? NeXt you’re a private foreign based firm…..something stinx. Am just saying

    • Anonymous
      September 12, 2013

      It is more scientific than the one taken on DNO.

  72. Krazy
    September 12, 2013

    “In my opinion it looks unassailable.. it is your opinion mr. wickman. anything can happen for the next election.. you giving those analyses doses mean that the dlp will have a clear win.. to your surprise the opposition uwp could in fact win the general election. :-P

  73. Pro
    September 12, 2013

    A pollster that is paid by the DLP will never be credible to me, so mr. Wickham what you said was like saying nothing. I suggest you share your thoughts/opinions/findings with your paymasters and dont comment publicly about these matters because it only serves to make you and your firm look really bad.

  74. alas
    September 12, 2013

    Hope this is an independent poll! I apprecaite the fact that you have stated that change can happen in the other constituents besides the 5 highlighted and the percentage margin in those constituencies can definitely change. Change can happen at any time, even in strong holds like Grand Bay the right candidate can change the mentality of “if a broomstick going up, we voting LABOUR!!!”

  75. Anonymous
    September 12, 2013

    For a party they said put the nail in their coffin, how they winning seats na? DLP like to make comments to think d/cans afraid of them but i know change is coming… make another poll in a few months time sir and u will see it too….

    • DANZIGER
      September 12, 2013

      Change yr 100 dollars in five twenties, two fifties, ten tens,twenty fives or in shilllent,lamoné but no change labour is here to win the next election.

  76. USA
    September 12, 2013

    Excellent psychological move Peter. We are well aware that you are an operative of the DLP, and the pole must indicate that. Thank God though, those of us who are on the ground, know what the reality of the situation is, and the reality is, the DLP shall NOT win the next general election.

  77. observer
    September 12, 2013

    Poll can change closer to election. Right? While it seems reasonable, I think this a preliminary poll. Closer to em election I would expect an update.

  78. Clinb we Climbing
    September 12, 2013

    UWP is Climing that mountain with Lenox at the helm. Climb we climbing.

    Marigot
    Salisbury
    Roseau Central

    is the first step. Now as Peter Wickham stated. the next step is

    La Plaine
    Morne Jaune
    Roseau North

    That is Six. Next stop,

    Wesley
    Castle Bruce

    Then the home streach
    Mahaut
    St. Joseph
    Soufriere

    That’s 11 bingo..

    Now for the gravy

    Carib Territory
    Roseau South

    More Gravy is Roseau Valley which he didn’t mention it was close last election and it’s a seat we held from 1995. Should we add this too?

    So that mountain is not too hard after all and that’s according to Peter Wickham’s road map. Thank you Peter for that map.

    • Mahaut
      September 12, 2013

      Wishful thinking

    • Domtiguan
      September 12, 2013

      keep dreaming my friend

  79. John Jay
    September 12, 2013

    Stay there with your nonsense and believe the electorates will take all the that’s going on. By you doing and saying this , you have food on your table but we don’t have food .
    Votes don’t come with pretty face but food and care for our kids and have been fooled to much by the DLP so come again.

  80. do not edit
    September 12, 2013

    Research for thé dlp. OK well all those with no job and no future. Instead of complaining this is your chance to have your voices heard. What do you want don’t just vote vote for something not someone.

  81. mee1
    September 12, 2013

    offcourse they have a very strong chance of winning. Even if most Dominicans would like to see a change but why buy milk when you have a cow. Since there is a very high poverty rate in Dominica, most of us poor are afraid that if the vote labour out life will be more difficult for us. The thing we say is, “we have a cow so we are not buying milk”. We should be thinking jobs and not handouts. I strongly believe too that if the labout party can create more jobs, they will be there for a very very very long time. Honestly i think no matter who is in power, politics will always be politics and it will not change.

  82. Just Me
    September 12, 2013

    Wickham has expressed his “opinion” on survey numbers, which are, at best, unreliable. Has he measured the feelings of the people of Dominica at the present time?

    Come again Wickham, you are injecting your political bias into your own survey.

    • Anonymous
      September 12, 2013

      Yes, The Dominican people- not the few on DNO.

  83. Heartly
    September 12, 2013

    Meeting in Lagon on Friday 13th September. You are invited. Chater a flight. Make another poll.

    • Papa Dom
      September 12, 2013

      Don’t fool yourself, the turnout will be just as low as before. Dominicans have no ambition, they are quite content with thing the way they are. Fear of political victimisation, fear of the unknown and greed will keep many away, even all those who come here to chant “CHANGE IS A MUST, NOT AN OPTION” will not show up.

  84. anonymous
    September 12, 2013

    “an 11 percent swing is not unheard of since this has taken place in Grenada and Barbados”

    We the people of this country will bear that in mind Versus the headline that suggests otherwise. It’s not just because of infighting that the a party loses an election. When we look at the economic condition in our beloved D/ca we dare anyone to make us think that Change is not just inevitable but a Must. We are sick and tired of a government that does not seek to make provision for the working class and blinds a select few with handouts and ” care for the very young and the old”. We want jobs so we can work and take care of our children and our elderly!!!!! WORKERRRRSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS

  85. Cataleya
    September 12, 2013

    All the way with the DLP! Don’t need you thumbs down! Save them for the night of general election. :-D :-D :-D

  86. Roy Williams
    September 12, 2013

    No one including Skerrit should take this pollster seriously. The man is being paid by the Government, what do you expect him to report. If Skerrit wants a proper report, he must employ a professional independent pollster. The news from Wickham maybe great for the UWP, because the Labor party might just relax, thus giving the UWP the advantage.

  87. I DIE NU
    September 12, 2013

    So tell Lennox and UWP to Will and Come again!

    • T
      September 12, 2013

      That’s exactly what is happening. But victory is theirs.

  88. PetProjects
    September 12, 2013

    Why mention Castle Bruce (4.8 percent) and not the Roseau Valley, which is below 4%?? plus Colihaut in play believe it or not folks Colihaut in play….

    Well Peter Wickham you didnt poll me, I didn’t vote in 2009 but for sure i’m voting the United Workers Party this time, So yeah i’m in the 11 percent swing!!!

  89. Rocky Hills
    September 12, 2013

    You need eleven seats to form Government, it will be a up hill task for the UWP, however it can be done.

    But Dominicans are normally are sell out both ways.
    They could still stick with the dimples guy,as their culture is rather small mind setted.

    You bring the facts and truth in front Dominicans and they remain quiet.

    i have no confidence in Dominicans they are just noted for good radio calling that’s it..

    They knew Skero could not do the job, but they gave him pass marks all the time with silly excuses…

    Dominicans are far behind in the mental slavery mood, they will fight each other down.

    Good luck to UWP, but me ain’t trust Dominicans

  90. Dominican
    September 12, 2013

    why are sensible people even listening to
    Wickham?

  91. ///////
    September 12, 2013

    Are you God, to predict who will win, also are you a Dominican, if not “Keep your clappers”, shut, zip it, because you are not in Dominica, to know what we Dominicans, are suffering under the Labour Party, a chosen few are not suffering, because, they have high salaries, plus, travelling allowances, amongts other things, while others work hard for years, getting stress on the job with no salary increase, and everything skyrocketing, that is why some of the weaker ones, turn to drugs, and steal.

  92. ah who???
    September 12, 2013

    Peter Wickham are you singing for your supper? Dominicans tired, very tired of this present political party and their leader. Sit back and watch this 11% swing happen with your eyes wide open. And we DON’T want Gloria in Wesley and Woodfordhill! So that is one seat that is goneeeeeee. What they did the last time to make her win will NOT and I repeat NOT happen again! The people of the constituency have seen oh too much the selfishness of this Parl Rep who looks of for her ppl and no one else. These people have lost sight of what a Parl rep is, its time to goooooo!!!!

    • ah who???
      September 12, 2013

      DNO I want to know what happen to my comment allu not posting it.

  93. MOI
    September 12, 2013

    Looking at things, the DLP will win again but not by the landslide that they won the last time.

  94. ha ha sad face
    September 12, 2013

    you are the PIPE DREAM WICKHAM!

  95. hate haters
    September 12, 2013

    STUPES

  96. hmmm
    September 12, 2013

    I am left wondering…the timing of this poll.

Post a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

:) :-D :wink: :( 8-O :lol: :-| :cry: 8) :-? :-P :-x :?: :oops: :twisted: :mrgreen: more »

 characters available