Forecasters predict above-average hurricane season

The forcast team at Colorado State University predicts up to eight hurricanes in the Atlantic this year.

DENVER, Colorado, CMC – Caribbean countries can expect an above-average 2010 Atlantic hurricane with a 58 per cent chance of a major hurricane affecting the region, respected United States forecasters have said.

The team from Colorado State University is predicting as many as eight hurricanes, four of which will become major weather systems with winds in excess of 111 miles per hour, to form over the Atlantic Ocean during the June 1 to November 30 hurricane season. In all, it said that there would be up to 15 named storms.

Dr. Phil Klotzbach, the lead forecaster on the university’s hurricane forecast team, said the prediction was based on the premise that El Nino conditions continue until the summer.

“We expect current moderate El Nino conditions to transition to neutral conditions by this year’s hurricane season,” Dr Klotzbach said in a statement.

“The dissipating El Nino, along with the expected anomalously warm Atlantic ocean sea surface temperatures, will lead to favourable dynamic and thermodynamic conditions for hurricane formation and intensification,” he added.

The team predicts tropical cyclone activity in 2010 will be 160 per cent of the average season. By comparison, 2009 witnessed tropical cyclone activity that was about 70 percent of the average season.

The 2010 forecast marks 27 years of hurricane forecasting at Colorado State, led by Dr. William Gray. The hurricane forecast team said it makes its predictions based on 58 years of historical data.

“While patterns may change before the start of hurricane season, we believe current conditions warrant concern for an above-average season,” Dr. Gray said.

Long-term averages are 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 major hurricanes per year, the team said.

The Colorado State University team said it will issue forecast updates on June 2 and August 4.

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5 Comments

  1. ok..
    April 8, 2010

    thanks 4 the info…

  2. Anonymous
    April 8, 2010

    “blow hurricane blow … lol”

    • Anonymous
      April 9, 2010

      FOR YOU TO PRAY TO GOD TO SPEAR US U SAYING BLOW HURRICANE HURICANE YOU HAVE NO HEART

  3. Law Abiding Citizen
    April 8, 2010

    Well I hope D.ca will be spared like other years cause we can’t afford any disasters especially now as things so bad with us…. We all have to start praying for us to be safe. Only God can help us.

  4. lola
    April 8, 2010

    MY PRAYERS WILL BE FOR ALL MY FELLOW DOMINICANS, THAT HE MAY KEEP US SAFE DURING THESE TIMES.
    AMEN

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