UPDATE (5:00PM): Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for Dominica

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

At 5pm, Tropical Storm Dorian was located near Latitude 12.7N and Longitude 58.8W approximately 60 miles south east of Barbados (396km or 247 miles south east of Dominica).  Dorian is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Tuesday night, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Wednesday.

On the forecast track, the center of Dorian is expected to be near the Windward Islands this evening and tonight, and move into the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next few days and Dorian could be near hurricane strength when it passes through the northern Windward Islands on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outwards up to 45 miles )75 km) from the center. 

The center of Dorian is projected to pass over the Windward Islands (southern portion of the island chain), approximately 100 miles south of Dominica. Regardless, pockets of moderate to heavy shower and thunderstorm activity generated by the system are projected to spread northwards across Dominica from tonight and throughout Tuesday along with gusty winds possible up to tropical storm strength. Rainfall projection is for 2 to 4 inches (50-100mm) across Dominica with higher amounts in elevated areas. Flash flooding and landslides are therefore possible.  

Small craft operators and other sea users are advised to exercise extreme caution during the next 24 to 36 hours due to rough seas particularly along the south and west coasts. A small craft warning will be in effect from 6pm today until 6pm Tuesday 27th August.

Residents are advised to remain VIGILANT, make the necessary preparations and keep updated on this system.  

The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the situation and provide updates.

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2 Comments

  1. Shaka zulu
    August 26, 2019

    DNO i would just like to point out improvements in the MET office dissemination of info as it relates to storms. Prior and during Erika the notifications were coming when the storms were already affecting country. I must say i notice the difference. The frequency and details are muched improved. Two thumbs up. We always try give constructive criticism. Sometimes frank but its just that we should always expect better so wanted to point out good improvements. Also noticed CERT training going on so now is time to put to use. Not sure i saw plan from ODM but hope everyone have stuff in place. As we know from history August 20th to about September 20th is hurricane month of terror so be ready..

    • Roger Burnett
      August 26, 2019

      I agree. The Met Office is doing much better than before.

      However, I still encourage readers to follow postings by the National Hurricane Center, and most especially their “Discussion” page: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT5+shtml/262055.shtml?

      May I suggest that to Admin that they post to the most recent Met Office announcement and archive earlier bulletins. This would then leave room on the main DNO page for other news items.

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